Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗11% · fair 9.52
Ammanford AFC vs Penybont: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 18 September the Premier League brings Ammanford AFC against Penybont at Ammanford Recreation Ground. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT. In the table, Ammanford AFC are 14th, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 16 matches; Penybont are 3rd (among the top four) with 36. There are 24 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Ammanford AFC, last 5: DLLLD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Barry Town, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Penybont, last 5: WWWDD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Briton Ferry, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Penybont, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.3 for Ammanford AFC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ammanford AFC 0.6 xG, Penybont 2.2 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ammanford AFC 9%, draw 18%, Penybont 73%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (51%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ammanford AFC 0–2 Penybont. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ammanford AFC9%fair 11.33 · @15.00
Draw18%fair 5.57 · @6.00
Penybont73%fair 1.37 · @1.18
2.83Expected goals
0.63Ammanford AFC xG
2.20Penybont xG
49%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–214%
0–113%
0–311%
1–29%
1–18%
1–37%
From our goals model: Ammanford AFC 0.6 – 2.2 Penybont expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Penybont to win✓
73%
1.37
1.18
Double chance
Penybont or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.03
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
1.55
Draw no bet
Penybont (draw no bet)✓
89%
1.12
–
Asian handicap
Penybont -1 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Penybont to score first✓
73%
1.37
–
Half-time result
Penybont ahead at half-time✓
53%
1.90
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Penybont / FT Penybont✓
49%
2.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–3✗
11%
9.52
–
Recent results
Ammanford AFC – last 6
DLLLDL
15 Sep
@ Barry Town
2–2
D
11 Sep
vs Caernarfon Town
0–5
L
4 Sep
@ Llandudno
0–2
L
31 Aug
vs Cardiff MET
0–5
L
28 Aug
@ Trefelin
1–1
D
22 Aug
vs GAP Connah S Quay FC
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Penybont – last 6
WWWDDW
15 Sep
vs Briton Ferry
3–2
W
11 Sep
@ Trefelin
1–0
W
5 Sep
vs Colwyn Bay
1–0
W
31 Aug
@ Cambrian & Clydach
2–2
D
28 Aug
vs Flint Town United
1–1
D
21 Aug
vs Llandudno
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ammanford AFC and Penybont.
What is the prediction for Ammanford AFC vs Penybont?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Ammanford AFC vs Penybont?
On our numbers Ammanford AFC have a 9% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Penybont 73%.
How many goals will there be in Ammanford AFC vs Penybont?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ammanford AFC vs Penybont?
Our predicted score is Ammanford AFC 0–2 Penybont, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Ammanford AFC vs Penybont?
Ammanford AFC vs Penybont (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Ammanford Recreation Ground.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
