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Haverfordwest County AFC v Holywell: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Wales · Bridge Meadow Stadium
Haverfordwest County AFC 65%Draw 20%Holywell 16% Expected goals 2.57 – 1.25
63%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.67Odds

Picks by market

ResultHaverfordwest County AFC to win ✓65% · @1.35
Double chanceHaverfordwest County AFC or draw ✓84% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.67
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.05

Haverfordwest County AFC vs Holywell: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 18 September the Premier League brings Haverfordwest County AFC against Holywell at Bridge Meadow Stadium. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT. In the table, Haverfordwest County AFC are 11th, lower half, on 16 points after 16 matches; Holywell are 16th (in the drop zone) with 2. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Haverfordwest County AFC, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Briton Ferry, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Holywell, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Colwyn Bay, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 3.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Haverfordwest County AFC, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.2 for Holywell.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Haverfordwest County AFC 2.6 xG, Holywell 1.3 xG – a total near 3.8. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 73% and GG at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Haverfordwest County AFC 65%, draw 20%, Holywell 16%.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.67 – longer than our fair 1.60, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Haverfordwest County AFC 2–1 Holywell. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Haverfordwest County AFC65%fair 1.55 · @1.35
Draw20%fair 5.05 · @4.75
Holywell16%fair 6.38 · @8.00
3.82Expected goals
2.57Haverfordwest County AFC xG
1.25Holywell xG
63%Both score
73%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
3–18%
2–07%
1–17%
3–06%
2–26%

From our goals model: Haverfordwest County AFC 2.6 – 1.3 Holywell expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHaverfordwest County AFC to win ✓65%1.551.35
Double chanceHaverfordwest County AFC or draw ✓84%1.191.07
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗63%1.601.67
Draw no betHaverfordwest County AFC (draw no bet) ✓80%1.24–
Asian handicapHaverfordwest County AFC -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗89%1.12–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗73%1.36–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗53%1.88–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓66%1.51–
First team to scoreHaverfordwest County AFC to score first ✓66%1.52–
Half-time resultHaverfordwest County AFC ahead at half-time ✓50%2.01–
Half-time / full-timeHT Haverfordwest County AFC / FT Haverfordwest County AFC ✓44%2.28–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.05–

Recent results

Haverfordwest County AFC – last 6

WDWLLL
11 Sepvs Briton Ferry3–1W
4 Sep@ GAP Connah S Quay FC1–1D
31 Augvs Trefelin2–1W
28 Aug@ Llandudno0–2L
21 Augvs Cambrian & Clydach0–3L
14 Augvs Penybont0–3L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Holywell – last 6

LLDLLL
15 Sepvs Colwyn Bay0–5L
11 Sep@ Cambrian & Clydach1–2L
4 Sepvs Trefelin1–1D
31 Aug@ Airbus UK2–6L
28 Augvs Caernarfon Town3–5L
21 Augvs Barry Town1–3L
1.3Scored / game
3.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Haverfordwest County AFC and Holywell.

Haverfordwest County AFC vs Holywell head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1The New Saints161420+4844
2GAP Connah S Quay FC161222+2538
3Penybont151131+2136
4Colwyn Bay161024+1032
5Airbus UK161006+1030
6Caernarfon Town16925+2129
7Barry Town16925+629
8Cardiff MET16745+625
9Cambrian & Clydach16547-1519
10Llandudno165110-716
11Haverfordwest County AFC165110-1116
12Briton Ferry16439-1115
13Flint Town United164210-814
14Ammanford AFC163310-3012
15Trefelin161312-296
16Holywell150213-362

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Haverfordwest County AFC vs Holywell?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Haverfordwest County AFC vs Holywell?

On our numbers Haverfordwest County AFC have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Holywell 16%.

How many goals will there be in Haverfordwest County AFC vs Holywell?

We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Haverfordwest County AFC vs Holywell?

Our predicted score is Haverfordwest County AFC 2–1 Holywell, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.

When is Haverfordwest County AFC vs Holywell?

Haverfordwest County AFC vs Holywell (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Bridge Meadow Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.