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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Briton Ferry v Trefelin: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Wales · Old Road
1–1
FT
Briton Ferry 63%Draw 23%Trefelin 14% Expected goals 2.01 – 0.88
63%
Betarazi pick

Briton Ferry to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.57Odds

Picks by market

ResultBriton Ferry to win ✗63% · @1.57
Double chanceBriton Ferry or draw ✓86% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.13

Briton Ferry vs Trefelin: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Trefelin travel to face Briton Ferry on Friday 18 September in the Premier League, with Old Road the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, Briton Ferry are 12th, lower half, on 15 points after 16 matches; Trefelin are 15th (in the drop zone) with 6.

Current form

Briton Ferry, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Penybont, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Trefelin, last 5: LLDLD Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Cambrian & Clydach, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Briton Ferry 2.0 xG, Trefelin 0.9 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Briton Ferry 63%, draw 23%, Trefelin 14%.
  • Lower-risk option: Briton Ferry or draw (86%) at 1.15.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Briton Ferry to win (63%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Briton Ferry 2–0 Trefelin. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Briton Ferry63%fair 1.60 · @1.57
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.90
Trefelin14%fair 7.00 · @5.00
2.89Expected goals
2.01Briton Ferry xG
0.88Trefelin xG
58%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%

From our goals model: Briton Ferry 2.0 – 0.9 Trefelin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBriton Ferry to win ✗63%1.601.57
Double chanceBriton Ferry or draw ✓86%1.171.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.731.62
Draw no betBriton Ferry (draw no bet)81%1.23–
Asian handicapBriton Ferry -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.28–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗55%1.81–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.20–
First team to scoreBriton Ferry to score first ✓66%1.52–
Half-time resultBriton Ferry ahead at half-time ✓46%2.17–
Half-time / full-timeHT Briton Ferry / FT Briton Ferry ✗41%2.44–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.13–

Recent results

Briton Ferry – last 6

LLLLLW
15 Sep@ Penybont2–3L
11 Sep@ Haverfordwest County AFC1–3L
4 Sepvs Airbus UK0–2L
31 Augvs Barry Town1–4L
28 Aug@ Cardiff MET0–3L
21 Aug@ Flint Town United1–0W
0.8Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Trefelin – last 6

LLDLDL
15 Sepvs Cambrian & Clydach0–4L
11 Sepvs Penybont0–1L
4 Sep@ Holywell1–1D
31 Aug@ Haverfordwest County AFC1–2L
28 Augvs Ammanford AFC1–1D
21 Augvs Caernarfon Town0–2L
0.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Briton Ferry and Trefelin.

Briton Ferry vs Trefelin head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1The New Saints161420+4844
2GAP Connah S Quay FC161222+2538
3Penybont151131+2136
4Colwyn Bay161024+1032
5Airbus UK161006+1030
6Caernarfon Town16925+2129
7Barry Town16925+629
8Cardiff MET16745+625
9Cambrian & Clydach16547-1519
10Llandudno165110-716
11Haverfordwest County AFC165110-1116
12Briton Ferry16439-1115
13Flint Town United164210-814
14Ammanford AFC163310-3012
15Trefelin161312-296
16Holywell150213-362

More Premier League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Briton Ferry vs Trefelin?

Our pick is Briton Ferry to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Briton Ferry vs Trefelin?

On our numbers Briton Ferry have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Trefelin 14%.

How many goals will there be in Briton Ferry vs Trefelin?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Briton Ferry vs Trefelin?

Our predicted score is Briton Ferry 2–0 Trefelin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Briton Ferry vs Trefelin?

Briton Ferry vs Trefelin (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Old Road.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.