GAP Connah S Quay FC v Cardiff MET Prediction & Expected Goals (18 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultGAP Connah S Quay FC to win ✓65% · @1.67

Double chanceGAP Connah S Quay FC or draw ✓87% · @1.18

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.67

GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗66% · fair 1.51

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.37

GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Cardiff MET: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:45 WAT, Friday 18 September: GAP Connah S Quay FC v Cardiff MET in the Premier League, played at Essity Stadium. In the table, GAP Connah S Quay FC are 2nd, among the top four, on 38 points after 16 matches; Cardiff MET are 8th (upper half) with 25. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

GAP Connah S Quay FC, last 5: WLDWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Airbus UK, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Cardiff MET, last 5: DDWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Flint Town United, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours GAP Connah S Quay FC, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Cardiff MET.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give GAP Connah S Quay FC 2.4 xG, Cardiff MET 1.0 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 66% for three or more goals, 60% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – GAP Connah S Quay FC 65%, draw 22%, Cardiff MET 13%.
Lower-risk option: GAP Connah S Quay FC or draw (87%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was GAP Connah S Quay FC to win (65%, odds 1.67 – longer than our fair 1.53, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: GAP Connah S Quay FC 2–1 Cardiff MET. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

GAP Connah S Quay FC65%fair 1.53 · @1.67

Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.70

Cardiff MET13%fair 7.68 · @4.50

3.41Expected goals

2.38GAP Connah S Quay FC xG

1.03Cardiff MET xG

60%Both score

66%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%

2–09%

1–18%

1–08%

3–18%

3–07%

From our goals model: GAP Connah S Quay FC 2.4 – 1.0 Cardiff MET expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	GAP Connah S Quay FC to win ✓	65%	1.53	1.67 ▲
Double chance	GAP Connah S Quay FC or draw ✓	87%	1.15	1.18
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	60%	1.67	1.67
Draw no bet	GAP Connah S Quay FC (draw no bet) ✓	83%	1.20	–
Asian handicap	GAP Connah S Quay FC -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	67%	1.49	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	85%	1.17	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	66%	1.51	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	56%	1.80	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	74%	1.35	–
First team to score	GAP Connah S Quay FC to score first ✓	67%	1.48	–
Half-time result	GAP Connah S Quay FC ahead at half-time ✗	50%	2.01	–
Half-time / full-time	HT GAP Connah S Quay FC / FT GAP Connah S Quay FC ✗	45%	2.25	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.37	–

GAP Connah S Quay FC – last 6

WLDWWW

15 Sep	vs Airbus UK	3–0	W
12 Sep	@ Colwyn Bay	1–2	L
4 Sep	vs Haverfordwest County AFC	1–1	D
31 Aug	@ Flint Town United	2–1	W
28 Aug	vs Cambrian & Clydach	3–0	W
22 Aug	@ Ammanford AFC	2–0	W

2.0Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

50%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Cardiff MET – last 6

DDWWLL

11 Sep	@ Flint Town United	1–1	D
4 Sep	vs Cambrian & Clydach	2–2	D
31 Aug	@ Ammanford AFC	5–0	W
28 Aug	vs Briton Ferry	3–0	W
21 Aug	vs The New Saints	0–5	L
15 Aug	@ Barry Town	0–1	L

1.8Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

33%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	The New Saints	16	14	2	0	+48	44
2	GAP Connah S Quay FC	16	12	2	2	+25	38
3	Penybont	15	11	3	1	+21	36
4	Colwyn Bay	16	10	2	4	+10	32
5	Airbus UK	16	10	0	6	+10	30
6	Caernarfon Town	16	9	2	5	+21	29
7	Barry Town	16	9	2	5	+6	29
8	Cardiff MET	16	7	4	5	+6	25
9	Cambrian & Clydach	16	5	4	7	-15	19
10	Llandudno	16	5	1	10	-7	16
11	Haverfordwest County AFC	16	5	1	10	-11	16
12	Briton Ferry	16	4	3	9	-11	15
13	Flint Town United	16	4	2	10	-8	14
14	Ammanford AFC	16	3	3	10	-30	12
15	Trefelin	16	1	3	12	-29	6
16	Holywell	15	0	2	13	-36	2

Team

Pts

+48

+25

+21

+10

+10

+21

-15

-7

Haverfordwest County AFC

-11

-11

-8

-30

-29

-36

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Cardiff MET?

Our pick is GAP Connah S Quay FC to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Cardiff MET?

On our numbers GAP Connah S Quay FC have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Cardiff MET 13%.

How many goals will there be in GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Cardiff MET?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Cardiff MET?

Our predicted score is GAP Connah S Quay FC 2–1 Cardiff MET, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Cardiff MET?

GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Cardiff MET (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Essity Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

GAP Connah S Quay FC v Cardiff MET: numbers & prediction