Caernarfon Town 66%Draw 20%Briton Ferry 14%Expected goals 2.30 – 1.01
66%
Betarazi pick
Caernarfon Town to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.33Odds
Picks by market
ResultCaernarfon Town to win ✓66% · @1.33
Double chanceCaernarfon Town or draw ✓86% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.25
Caernarfon Town vs Briton Ferry: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:45 WAT, Friday 23 October: Caernarfon Town v Briton Ferry in the Premier League, played at The Oval. In the table, Caernarfon Town are 6th, upper half, on 29 points after 16 matches; Briton Ferry are 12th (lower half) with 15. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Caernarfon Town, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Flint Town United, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.8 a game lately.
Briton Ferry, last 5: WLWDD Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Afan United, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Caernarfon Town, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Briton Ferry.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Caernarfon Town 2.3 xG, Briton Ferry 1.0 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Caernarfon Town 66%, draw 20%, Briton Ferry 14%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Caernarfon Town to win (66%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Caernarfon Town 2–1 Briton Ferry. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Caernarfon Town66%fair 1.52 · @1.33
Draw20%fair 4.97 · @4.80
Briton Ferry14%fair 7.00 · @7.50
3.31Expected goals
2.30Caernarfon Town xG
1.01Briton Ferry xG
61%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–010%
1–18%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Caernarfon Town 2.3 – 1.0 Briton Ferry expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Caernarfon Town to win✓
66%
1.52
1.33
Double chance
Caernarfon Town or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.70
Draw no bet
Caernarfon Town (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Caernarfon Town -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
First team to score
Caernarfon Town to score first✓
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
Caernarfon Town ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Caernarfon Town / FT Caernarfon Town✓
44%
2.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.25
–
Recent results
Caernarfon Town – last 6
WWLDWD
17 Oct
@ Flint Town United
3–1
W
9 Oct
@ Haverfordwest County AFC
2–1
W
3 Oct
vs Barry Town
0–1
L
26 Sep
@ Cardiff MET
2–2
D
18 Sep
vs Cambrian & Clydach
9–1
W
15 Sep
@ Llandudno
1–1
D
2.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Briton Ferry – last 6
WLWDDL
16 Oct
vs Afan United
5–0
W
9 Oct
vs GAP Connah S Quay FC
1–2
L
3 Oct
vs Colwyn Bay
1–0
W
26 Sep
@ Holywell
1–1
D
18 Sep
vs Trefelin
1–1
D
15 Sep
@ Penybont
2–3
L
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Caernarfon Town and Briton Ferry.
What is the prediction for Caernarfon Town vs Briton Ferry?
Our pick is Caernarfon Town to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Caernarfon Town vs Briton Ferry?
On our numbers Caernarfon Town have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Briton Ferry 14%.
How many goals will there be in Caernarfon Town vs Briton Ferry?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Caernarfon Town vs Briton Ferry?
Our predicted score is Caernarfon Town 2–1 Briton Ferry, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Caernarfon Town vs Briton Ferry?
Caernarfon Town vs Briton Ferry (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at The Oval.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
