Double chanceThe New Saints or draw ✓94% · fair 1.06
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · @1.20
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · fair 1.46
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗11% · fair 8.86
The New Saints vs Ammanford AFC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:45 WAT, Friday 23 October: The New Saints v Ammanford AFC in the Premier League, played at Park Hall. In the table, The New Saints are 1st, leading the league, on 44 points after 16 matches; Ammanford AFC are 14th (in the drop zone) with 12. There are 32 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
The New Saints, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Airbus UK, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 4.5 a game lately.
Ammanford AFC, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 4–2 win over FC Cwmaman, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours The New Saints, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.7 for Ammanford AFC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give The New Saints 2.9 xG, Ammanford AFC 0.7 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 69% for three or more goals, 44% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – The New Saints 81%, draw 13%, Ammanford AFC 6%.
GG/NG: NG (56%) at 1.20.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (56%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: The New Saints 2–0 Ammanford AFC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
The New Saints81%fair 1.23 · @1.03
Draw13%fair 7.86 · @19.00
Ammanford AFC6%fair 17.25 · @51.00
3.54Expected goals
2.86The New Saints xG
0.68Ammanford AFC xG
44%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
3–011%
1–08%
2–18%
4–08%
3–18%
From our goals model: The New Saints 2.9 – 0.7 Ammanford AFC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
The New Saints to win✓
81%
1.23
1.03
Double chance
The New Saints or draw✓
94%
1.06
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.20
Draw no bet
The New Saints (draw no bet)✓
93%
1.07
–
Asian handicap
The New Saints -1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
–
First team to score
The New Saints to score first✓
78%
1.28
–
Half-time result
The New Saints ahead at half-time✓
61%
1.63
–
Half-time / full-time
HT The New Saints / FT The New Saints✓
58%
1.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
11%
8.86
–
Recent results
The New Saints – last 6
WWWWWW
16 Oct
@ Airbus UK
2–1
W
9 Oct
@ Holywell
6–1
W
3 Oct
vs Cambrian & Clydach
9–0
W
26 Sep
@ Trefelin
3–1
W
19 Sep
vs Llandudno
2–1
W
15 Sep
vs Flint Town United
5–0
W
4.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Ammanford AFC – last 6
WWWLLD
17 Oct
@ FC Cwmaman
4–2
W
9 Oct
@ Cambrian & Clydach
1–0
W
3 Oct
vs Holywell
2–1
W
26 Sep
@ Flint Town United
0–3
L
18 Sep
vs Penybont
1–5
L
15 Sep
@ Barry Town
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between The New Saints and Ammanford AFC.
What is the prediction for The New Saints vs Ammanford AFC?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win The New Saints vs Ammanford AFC?
On our numbers The New Saints have a 81% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Ammanford AFC 6%.
How many goals will there be in The New Saints vs Ammanford AFC?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for The New Saints vs Ammanford AFC?
Our predicted score is The New Saints 2–0 Ammanford AFC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is The New Saints vs Ammanford AFC?
The New Saints vs Ammanford AFC (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Park Hall.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
