Colwyn Bay 63%Draw 20%Cardiff MET 17%Expected goals 2.03 – 0.93
63%
Betarazi pick
Colwyn Bay to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
Picks by market
ResultColwyn Bay to win ✗63% · @1.67
Double chanceColwyn Bay or draw ✓83% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.07
Colwyn Bay vs Cardiff MET: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Cardiff MET travel to face Colwyn Bay on Friday 23 October in the Premier League, with Llanelian Road the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, Colwyn Bay are 4th, among the top four, on 32 points after 16 matches; Cardiff MET are 8th (upper half) with 25.
Current form
Colwyn Bay, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Buckley Town, away. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Cardiff MET, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Ynyshir Albions, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Colwyn Bay 2.0 xG, Cardiff MET 0.9 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Colwyn Bay 63%, draw 20%, Cardiff MET 17%.
Lower-risk option: Colwyn Bay or draw (83%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Colwyn Bay to win (63%, odds 1.67 – longer than our fair 1.58, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Colwyn Bay 2–0 Cardiff MET. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Colwyn Bay63%fair 1.58 · @1.67
Draw20%fair 5.00 · @3.50
Cardiff MET17%fair 5.92 · @4.75
2.96Expected goals
2.03Colwyn Bay xG
0.93Cardiff MET xG
59%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Colwyn Bay 2.0 – 0.9 Cardiff MET expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Colwyn Bay to win✗
63%
1.58
1.67 ▲
Double chance
Colwyn Bay or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.73
Draw no bet
Colwyn Bay (draw no bet)
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Colwyn Bay -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
First team to score
Colwyn Bay to score first✗
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Colwyn Bay ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Colwyn Bay / FT Colwyn Bay✗
40%
2.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.07
–
Recent results
Colwyn Bay – last 6
DWLWWW
17 Oct
@ Buckley Town
2–2
D
10 Oct
@ Flint Town United
1–0
W
3 Oct
@ Briton Ferry
0–1
L
26 Sep
vs Haverfordwest County AFC
1–0
W
18 Sep
vs Barry Town
5–2
W
15 Sep
@ Holywell
5–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Cardiff MET – last 6
WLWWDL
16 Oct
vs Ynyshir Albions
4–0
W
9 Oct
vs Trefelin
1–3
L
3 Oct
@ Llandudno
1–0
W
29 Sep
vs Haverfordwest County AFC
1–0
W
26 Sep
vs Caernarfon Town
2–2
D
18 Sep
@ GAP Connah S Quay FC
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Colwyn Bay and Cardiff MET.
What is the prediction for Colwyn Bay vs Cardiff MET?
Our pick is Colwyn Bay to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Colwyn Bay vs Cardiff MET?
On our numbers Colwyn Bay have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Cardiff MET 17%.
How many goals will there be in Colwyn Bay vs Cardiff MET?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Colwyn Bay vs Cardiff MET?
Our predicted score is Colwyn Bay 2–0 Cardiff MET, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Colwyn Bay vs Cardiff MET?
Colwyn Bay vs Cardiff MET (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Llanelian Road.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
