Value bet: FC UFA to win @ 3.56 – our chance 36% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +30%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultChelyabinsk to win ✓41% · @2.02
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 11.99
Chelyabinsk vs FC UFA: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 18 September the First League brings Chelyabinsk against FC UFA at Central Stadium (Chelyabinsk). Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Chelyabinsk are 11th, lower half, on 21 points after 17 matches; FC UFA are 8th (upper half) with 22. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Chelyabinsk, last 5: DWLLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with KAMAZ, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
FC UFA, last 5: DLDWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Volga Ulyanovsk, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours FC UFA, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Chelyabinsk.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chelyabinsk 1.3 xG, FC UFA 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chelyabinsk 41%, draw 23%, FC UFA 36%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.90.
Price worth noting: FC UFA to win @3.56 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (69%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chelyabinsk 1–1 FC UFA. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chelyabinsk41%fair 2.45 · @2.02
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.22
FC UFA36%fair 2.75 · @3.56
2.52Expected goals
1.31Chelyabinsk xG
1.21FC UFA xG
57%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Chelyabinsk 1.3 – 1.2 FC UFA expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chelyabinsk to win✓
41%
2.45
2.02
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.90 ▲
Draw no bet
Chelyabinsk (draw no bet)✓
53%
1.89
–
Asian handicap
FC UFA +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.80
1.63
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.19
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
1.03
First team to score
Chelyabinsk to score first✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chelyabinsk / FT Chelyabinsk✗
22%
4.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
8%
11.99
–
Recent results
Chelyabinsk – last 6
DWLLDL
14 Sep
@ KAMAZ
1–1
D
10 Sep
@ Dinamo Barnaul
2–0
W
5 Sep
vs Spartak Kostroma
0–1
L
30 Aug
@ FC Sochi
1–2
L
23 Aug
@ Leningradets
1–1
D
15 Aug
vs Torpedo Moskva
0–4
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
FC UFA – last 6
DLDWWD
13 Sep
vs Volga Ulyanovsk
2–2
D
9 Sep
@ Kaluga
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Veles
1–1
D
28 Aug
@ FK Neftekhimik
1–0
W
23 Aug
vs Enisey
3–1
W
17 Aug
@ Spartak Kostroma
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chelyabinsk and FC UFA.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Chelyabinsk vs FC UFA?
On our numbers Chelyabinsk have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and FC UFA 36%.
How many goals will there be in Chelyabinsk vs FC UFA?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chelyabinsk vs FC UFA?
Our predicted score is Chelyabinsk 1–1 FC UFA, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Chelyabinsk vs FC UFA?
Chelyabinsk vs FC UFA (First League) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Central Stadium (Chelyabinsk).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
