Volga Ulyanovsk vs Spartak Kostroma: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 18 September the First League brings Volga Ulyanovsk against Spartak Kostroma at Trud Stadium (Ulyanovsk). Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Volga Ulyanovsk are 9th, upper half, on 22 points after 18 matches; Spartak Kostroma are 6th (upper half) with 28.
Current form
Volga Ulyanovsk, last 5: DDWDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with FC UFA, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Spartak Kostroma, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over FK Neftekhimik, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Spartak Kostroma, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for Volga Ulyanovsk.
Head to head
When they last met (28 Jun 2026) it ended Spartak Kostroma 1–1 Volga Ulyanovsk. The last 2 head-to-heads: Volga Ulyanovsk 1 win, Spartak Kostroma 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Volga Ulyanovsk 1.2 xG, Spartak Kostroma 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Volga Ulyanovsk 34%, draw 23%, Spartak Kostroma 43%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.82.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.21). Most likely score in line with that pick: Volga Ulyanovsk 1–1 Spartak Kostroma. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Volga Ulyanovsk34%fair 2.94 · @2.92
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.06
Spartak Kostroma43%fair 2.35 · @2.40
2.53Expected goals
1.17Volga Ulyanovsk xG
1.36Spartak Kostroma xG
53%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Volga Ulyanovsk 1.2 – 1.4 Spartak Kostroma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Volga Ulyanovsk vs Spartak Kostroma?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Volga Ulyanovsk vs Spartak Kostroma?
On our numbers Volga Ulyanovsk have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Spartak Kostroma 43%.
How many goals will there be in Volga Ulyanovsk vs Spartak Kostroma?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Volga Ulyanovsk vs Spartak Kostroma?
Our predicted score is Volga Ulyanovsk 1–1 Spartak Kostroma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Volga Ulyanovsk vs Spartak Kostroma?
Volga Ulyanovsk vs Spartak Kostroma (First League) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Trud Stadium (Ulyanovsk).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.