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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Volga Ulyanovsk v Spartak Kostroma: numbers & prediction

First League · Russia · Trud Stadium (Ulyanovsk)
0–1
FT
Volga Ulyanovsk 34%Draw 23%Spartak Kostroma 43% Expected goals 1.17 – 1.36
75%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.21 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.21Odds

Picks by market

ResultSpartak Kostroma to win ✓43% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.32
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.82
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.64

Volga Ulyanovsk vs Spartak Kostroma: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 18 September the First League brings Volga Ulyanovsk against Spartak Kostroma at Trud Stadium (Ulyanovsk). Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Volga Ulyanovsk are 9th, upper half, on 22 points after 18 matches; Spartak Kostroma are 6th (upper half) with 28.

Current form

Volga Ulyanovsk, last 5: DDWDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with FC UFA, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Spartak Kostroma, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over FK Neftekhimik, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Spartak Kostroma, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for Volga Ulyanovsk.

Head to head

When they last met (28 Jun 2026) it ended Spartak Kostroma 1–1 Volga Ulyanovsk. The last 2 head-to-heads: Volga Ulyanovsk 1 win, Spartak Kostroma 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Volga Ulyanovsk 1.2 xG, Spartak Kostroma 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Volga Ulyanovsk 34%, draw 23%, Spartak Kostroma 43%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.82.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.21). Most likely score in line with that pick: Volga Ulyanovsk 1–1 Spartak Kostroma. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Volga Ulyanovsk34%fair 2.94 · @2.92
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.06
Spartak Kostroma43%fair 2.35 · @2.40
2.53Expected goals
1.17Volga Ulyanovsk xG
1.36Spartak Kostroma xG
53%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
2–17%

From our goals model: Volga Ulyanovsk 1.2 – 1.4 Spartak Kostroma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSpartak Kostroma to win ✓43%2.352.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.311.32
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.891.82
Draw no betSpartak Kostroma (draw no bet) ✓56%1.80–
Asian handicapVolga Ulyanovsk +1 (Asian handicap)76%1.32–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗70%1.421.32
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓55%1.831.68
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.331.21
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.141.03
First team to scoreSpartak Kostroma to score first ✓49%2.03–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT Spartak Kostroma / FT Spartak Kostroma ✓24%4.20–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.64–

Recent results

Volga Ulyanovsk – last 6

DDWDLL
13 Sep@ FC UFA2–2D
9 Sep@ Volgar Astrakhan0–0D
5 Sepvs Arsenal Tula3–0W
30 Aug@ Nizhny Novgorod2–2D
22 Augvs Shinnik Yaroslavl1–3L
16 Aug@ FC Sochi0–1L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Spartak Kostroma – last 6

WWWWLD
14 Sepvs FK Neftekhimik1–0W
8 Sep@ Ryazan2–0W
5 Sep@ Chelyabinsk1–0W
31 Augvs Rotor Volgograd1–0W
21 Aug@ Torpedo Moskva0–3L
17 Augvs FC UFA1–1D
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

28 Jun 2026Spartak Kostroma v Volga Ulyanovsk1–1
28 Mar 2026Volga Ulyanovsk v Spartak Kostroma1–0
Volga Ulyanovsk vs Spartak Kostroma head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nizhny Novgorod171511+3746
2Ural171043+1834
3Torpedo Moskva17953+1632
4FC Sochi171025+632
5Veles18945+231
6Spartak Kostroma17845+228
7Shinnik Yaroslavl17683+426
8FC UFA17575+222
9Volga Ulyanovsk18648-322
10Rotor Volgograd17566+521
11Chelyabinsk17638-421
12Arsenal Tula17548-1519
13Leningradets17467-1118
14Enisey17458-1417
15Ska-khabarovsk17449-516
16KAMAZ17359-914
17FK Neftekhimik174112-1413
18Tekstilshchik172510-1711

More First League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Volga Ulyanovsk vs Spartak Kostroma?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.

Who will win Volga Ulyanovsk vs Spartak Kostroma?

On our numbers Volga Ulyanovsk have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Spartak Kostroma 43%.

How many goals will there be in Volga Ulyanovsk vs Spartak Kostroma?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Volga Ulyanovsk vs Spartak Kostroma?

Our predicted score is Volga Ulyanovsk 1–1 Spartak Kostroma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Volga Ulyanovsk vs Spartak Kostroma?

Volga Ulyanovsk vs Spartak Kostroma (First League) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Trud Stadium (Ulyanovsk).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.