FK Neftekhimik vs Ural: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Friday 18 September: FK Neftekhimik v Ural in the First League, played at Neftekhimik Stadium. In the table, FK Neftekhimik are 17th, in the drop zone, on 13 points after 17 matches; Ural are 2nd (among the top four) with 34. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
FK Neftekhimik, last 5: LDWLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Spartak Kostroma, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Ural, last 5: DLWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Shinnik Yaroslavl, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FK Neftekhimik 0.7 xG, Ural 1.6 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FK Neftekhimik 20%, draw 19%, Ural 60%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.92.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: FK Neftekhimik 0–1 Ural. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FK Neftekhimik20%fair 4.95 · @4.25
Draw19%fair 5.16 · @3.92
Ural60%fair 1.66 · @1.68
2.29Expected goals
0.73FK Neftekhimik xG
1.56Ural xG
51%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–116%
0–212%
1–111%
0–010%
1–29%
1–07%
From our goals model: FK Neftekhimik 0.7 – 1.6 Ural expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ural to win✓
60%
1.66
1.68
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.21
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
1.92
Draw no bet
Ural (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
FK Neftekhimik +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.46
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.74
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.04
First team to score
Ural to score first✓
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ural / FT Ural✗
35%
2.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.12
–
Recent results
FK Neftekhimik – last 6
LDWLWL
14 Sep
@ Spartak Kostroma
0–1
L
9 Sep
@ Chertanovo Moscow
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ Enisey
2–0
W
28 Aug
vs FC UFA
0–1
L
24 Aug
@ Rotor Volgograd
1–0
W
20 Aug
vs FC Sochi
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Ural – last 6
DLWDWD
14 Sep
@ Shinnik Yaroslavl
1–1
D
10 Sep
@ Luki-Energiya
1–2
L
6 Sep
vs KAMAZ
2–0
W
29 Aug
@ Arsenal Tula
2–2
D
22 Aug
vs Tekstilshchik
2–0
W
14 Aug
@ Rotor Volgograd
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FK Neftekhimik and Ural.
What is the prediction for FK Neftekhimik vs Ural?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win FK Neftekhimik vs Ural?
On our numbers FK Neftekhimik have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Ural 60%.
How many goals will there be in FK Neftekhimik vs Ural?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FK Neftekhimik vs Ural?
Our predicted score is FK Neftekhimik 0–1 Ural, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is FK Neftekhimik vs Ural?
FK Neftekhimik vs Ural (First League) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Neftekhimik Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
