Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Shinnik Yaroslavl to win @ 1.90 – our chance 60% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultShinnik Yaroslavl to win ✗60% · @1.90
Double chanceShinnik Yaroslavl or draw ✗83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.51
Shinnik Yaroslavl vs KAMAZ: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Shinnik Yaroslavl welcome KAMAZ to Shinnik for a First League fixture on Friday 18 September (16:30 WAT). In the table, Shinnik Yaroslavl are 7th, upper half, on 26 points after 17 matches; KAMAZ are 16th (in the drop zone) with 14. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Shinnik Yaroslavl, last 5: DWDDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Ural, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
KAMAZ, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Chelyabinsk, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Shinnik Yaroslavl, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.7 for KAMAZ.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Shinnik Yaroslavl 1.7 xG, KAMAZ 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Shinnik Yaroslavl 60%, draw 23%, KAMAZ 17%.
Lower-risk option: Shinnik Yaroslavl or draw (83%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Shinnik Yaroslavl to win @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Shinnik Yaroslavl or draw (83%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shinnik Yaroslavl 1–0 KAMAZ. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Shinnik Yaroslavl60%fair 1.66 · @1.90
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.24
KAMAZ17%fair 5.88 · @3.98
2.53Expected goals
1.74Shinnik Yaroslavl xG
0.79KAMAZ xG
53%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Shinnik Yaroslavl 1.7 – 0.8 KAMAZ expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shinnik Yaroslavl to win✗
60%
1.66
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Shinnik Yaroslavl or draw✗
83%
1.20
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
1.95
Draw no bet
Shinnik Yaroslavl (draw no bet)✗
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
KAMAZ +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
1.03
First team to score
Shinnik Yaroslavl to score first✗
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Shinnik Yaroslavl ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shinnik Yaroslavl / FT Shinnik Yaroslavl✗
37%
2.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.51
–
Recent results
Shinnik Yaroslavl – last 6
DWDDWW
14 Sep
vs Ural
1–1
D
10 Sep
vs Torpedo Moskva
2–0
W
5 Sep
vs Rotor Volgograd
2–2
D
30 Aug
@ Enisey
0–0
D
22 Aug
@ Volga Ulyanovsk
3–1
W
14 Aug
@ FK Neftekhimik
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
KAMAZ – last 6
DLLWLL
14 Sep
vs Chelyabinsk
1–1
D
9 Sep
@ Dinamo Kirov
0–1
L
6 Sep
@ Ural
0–2
L
29 Aug
@ Leningradets
1–0
W
24 Aug
vs FC Sochi
2–3
L
19 Aug
vs Tekstilshchik
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shinnik Yaroslavl and KAMAZ.
What is the prediction for Shinnik Yaroslavl vs KAMAZ?
Our pick is Shinnik Yaroslavl or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Shinnik Yaroslavl vs KAMAZ?
On our numbers Shinnik Yaroslavl have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and KAMAZ 17%.
How many goals will there be in Shinnik Yaroslavl vs KAMAZ?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shinnik Yaroslavl vs KAMAZ?
Our predicted score is Shinnik Yaroslavl 1–0 KAMAZ, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Shinnik Yaroslavl vs KAMAZ?
Shinnik Yaroslavl vs KAMAZ (First League) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Shinnik.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
