Buckley Town 64%Draw 16%Penrhyncoch 21%Expected goals 2.22 – 1.14
64%
Betarazi pick
Buckley Town to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.73Odds
Picks by market
ResultBuckley Town to win ✓64% · @1.73
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗66% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.25
Buckley Town vs Penrhyncoch: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Penrhyncoch travel to face Buckley Town on Saturday 5 September in the FAW Championship – the ball rolls at 14:30 WAT. In the table, Buckley Town are 9th, lower half, on 15 points after 14 matches; Penrhyncoch are 16th (in the drop zone) with 1. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Buckley Town, last 5: LWLDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Caersws, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Penrhyncoch, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Guilsfield, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Buckley Town 2.2 xG, Penrhyncoch 1.1 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 65% for three or more goals, 66% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Buckley Town 64%, draw 16%, Penrhyncoch 21%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.40.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Buckley Town to win (64%, odds 1.73 – longer than our fair 1.57, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Buckley Town 2–1 Penrhyncoch. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Buckley Town64%fair 1.57 · @1.73
Draw16%fair 6.36 · @3.90
Penrhyncoch21%fair 4.87 · @3.40
3.36Expected goals
2.22Buckley Town xG
1.14Penrhyncoch xG
66%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Buckley Town 2.2 – 1.1 Penrhyncoch expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Buckley Town to win✓
64%
1.57
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
84%
1.19
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
66%
1.52
1.40
Draw no bet
Buckley Town (draw no bet)✓
76%
1.32
–
Asian handicap
Buckley Town -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
–
First team to score
Buckley Town to score first✓
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Buckley Town ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Buckley Town / FT Buckley Town✓
40%
2.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.25
–
Recent results
Buckley Town – last 6
LWLDLL
31 Aug
@ Caersws
0–2
L
28 Aug
vs Guilsfield
3–1
W
21 Aug
@ Mold Alexandra
0–1
L
15 Aug
vs Porthmadog
1–1
D
8 Aug
@ Llanuwchllyn
1–2
L
1 Aug
vs Denbigh Town
2–4
L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Penrhyncoch – last 6
LDLLLW
31 Aug
@ Guilsfield
0–4
L
28 Aug
vs Denbigh Town
2–2
D
22 Aug
@ Brickfield Rangers
0–2
L
8 Aug
@ Newtown AFC
0–5
L
1 Aug
vs Porthmadog
1–3
L
6 Apr
@ Caersws
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Buckley Town and Penrhyncoch.
What is the prediction for Buckley Town vs Penrhyncoch?
Our pick is Buckley Town to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Buckley Town vs Penrhyncoch?
On our numbers Buckley Town have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Penrhyncoch 21%.
How many goals will there be in Buckley Town vs Penrhyncoch?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Buckley Town vs Penrhyncoch?
Our predicted score is Buckley Town 2–1 Penrhyncoch, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Buckley Town vs Penrhyncoch?
Buckley Town vs Penrhyncoch (FAW Championship) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Ynyshir Albions
Pontypridd Town