Porthmadog 21%Draw 24%Bala Town 54%Expected goals 1.16 – 1.93
79%
Betarazi pick
Bala Town or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.33Odds
Picks by market
ResultBala Town to win ✓54% · @1.95
Double chanceBala Town or draw ✓79% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.17
Porthmadog vs Bala Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Porthmadog welcome Bala Town for a FAW Championship fixture on Saturday 5 September (14:30 WAT). In the table, Porthmadog are 3rd, among the top four, on 27 points after 14 matches; Bala Town are 5th (upper half) with 24. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Porthmadog, last 5: DLWDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Holyhead Hotspur, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Bala Town, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Newtown AFC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Porthmadog 1.2 xG, Bala Town 1.9 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Porthmadog 21%, draw 24%, Bala Town 54%.
Lower-risk option: Bala Town or draw (79%) at 1.33.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Bala Town or draw (79%, odds 1.33 – longer than our fair 1.27, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Porthmadog 1–1 Bala Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Porthmadog21%fair 4.67 · @3.00
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.40
Bala Town54%fair 1.84 · @1.95
3.09Expected goals
1.16Porthmadog xG
1.93Bala Town xG
64%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–210%
0–19%
0–29%
1–36%
2–16%
From our goals model: Porthmadog 1.2 – 1.9 Bala Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bala Town to win✓
54%
1.84
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Bala Town or draw✓
79%
1.27
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.57
1.50
Draw no bet
Bala Town (draw no bet)✓
72%
1.39
–
Asian handicap
Porthmadog +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
First team to score
Bala Town to score first✓
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Bala Town ahead at half-time✓
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bala Town / FT Bala Town✓
35%
2.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
10%
10.17
–
Recent results
Porthmadog – last 6
DLWDWW
31 Aug
@ Holyhead Hotspur
2–2
D
28 Aug
vs Caersws
1–3
L
21 Aug
@ Denbigh Town
3–2
W
15 Aug
@ Buckley Town
1–1
D
8 Aug
vs Rhyl
1–0
W
1 Aug
@ Penrhyncoch
3–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Bala Town – last 6
LWWWWL
31 Aug
vs Newtown AFC
0–1
L
28 Aug
@ Rhyl
3–1
W
21 Aug
vs Gresford Athletic
3–0
W
7 Aug
vs Ruthin Town
2–1
W
31 Jul
@ Bangor City 1876 FC
2–1
W
27 Jun
vs Colwyn Bay
0–4
L
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Porthmadog and Bala Town.
What is the prediction for Porthmadog vs Bala Town?
Our pick is Bala Town or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Porthmadog vs Bala Town?
On our numbers Porthmadog have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Bala Town 54%.
How many goals will there be in Porthmadog vs Bala Town?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Porthmadog vs Bala Town?
Our predicted score is Porthmadog 1–1 Bala Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Porthmadog vs Bala Town?
Porthmadog vs Bala Town (FAW Championship) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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