Ynyshir Albions v Pontypridd Town Prediction & Expected Goals (5 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultPontypridd Town to win46% · @2.00

Double chanceEither team to win80% · @1.20

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score56% · fair 1.80

GoalsOver 1.5 goals82% · fair 1.22

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 11.07

Ynyshir Albions vs Pontypridd Town: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Pontypridd Town travel to face Ynyshir Albions on Saturday 5 September in the FAW Championship – the ball rolls at 14:30 WAT. In the table, Ynyshir Albions are 6th, upper half, on 19 points after 11 matches; Pontypridd Town are 1st (leading the league) with 27.

Current form

Ynyshir Albions, last 5: DWLDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Afan Lido, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Pontypridd Town, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 4–4 draw with Swansea University, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.8 a game lately.

Momentum favours Pontypridd Town, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Ynyshir Albions.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ynyshir Albions 1.4 xG, Pontypridd Town 1.7 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 56% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Ynyshir Albions 34%, draw 20%, Pontypridd Town 46%.

Betarazi verdict

Our call: Over 2.5 goals (59%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ynyshir Albions 1–2 Pontypridd Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ynyshir Albions34%fair 2.91 · @2.88

Draw20%fair 5.11 · @3.75

Pontypridd Town46%fair 2.17 · @2.00

3.14Expected goals

1.43Ynyshir Albions xG

1.70Pontypridd Town xG

56%Both score

59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%

1–29%

2–18%

0–17%

2–26%

0–26%

From our goals model: Ynyshir Albions 1.4 – 1.7 Pontypridd Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Pontypridd Town to win	46%	2.17	2.00
Double chance	Either team to win	80%	1.24	1.20
Both teams to score	Both teams to score	56%	1.80	–
Draw no bet	Pontypridd Town (draw no bet)	57%	1.75	–
Asian handicap	Ynyshir Albions +1 (Asian handicap)	71%	1.41	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals	82%	1.22	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals	59%	1.70	1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals	62%	1.62	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals	79%	1.26	–
First team to score	Pontypridd Town to score first	52%	1.92	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time	39%	2.60	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Pontypridd Town / FT Pontypridd Town	27%	3.76	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2	9%	11.07	–

Ynyshir Albions – last 6

DWLDWL

31 Aug	@ Afan Lido	0–0	D
28 Aug	@ Newport City	1–0	W
22 Aug	@ Caerphilly Athletic	1–2	L
7 Aug	@ Caerau (Ely)	1–1	D
1 Aug	vs Cardiff Draconians	1–0	W
24 Mar	@ Cardiff Draconians	1–4	L

0.8Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

50%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Pontypridd Town – last 6

DWWWWL

28 Aug	@ Swansea University	4–4	D
21 Aug	vs Trethomas Bluebirds	2–1	W
15 Aug	@ Cardiff Draconians	4–1	W
7 Aug	vs Pontardawe Town	3–2	W
1 Aug	@ Treowen Stars	3–2	W
27 Mar	vs Trefelin	1–3	L

2.8Scored / game

2.2Conceded / game

100%Both scored

100%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Pontypridd Town	13	8	3	2	+13	27
2	Aberystwyth Town	11	8	1	2	+18	25
3	Swansea University	11	7	3	1	+19	24
4	Caerau (Ely)	13	7	1	5	+1	22
5	Baglan Dragons	13	6	2	5	0	20
6	Ynyshir Albions	11	5	4	2	+7	19
7	Afan Lido	14	5	3	6	-2	18
8	Trethomas Bluebirds	13	4	5	4	+3	17
9	Treowen Stars	12	5	2	5	-1	17
10	Carmarthen Town	13	4	3	6	-6	15
11	Pontardawe Town	11	4	2	5	-1	14
12	Caerphilly Athletic	13	4	2	7	-7	14
13	Newport City	11	3	4	4	+4	13
14	Cardiff Draconians	11	3	3	5	-5	12
15	Llantwit Major	12	3	3	6	-12	12
16	llanelli AFC	14	0	3	11	-31	3

Team

Pts

+13

+18

+19

-2

-1

-6

-1

-7

-5

-12

-31

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ynyshir Albions vs Pontypridd Town?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win Ynyshir Albions vs Pontypridd Town?

On our numbers Ynyshir Albions have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Pontypridd Town 46%.

How many goals will there be in Ynyshir Albions vs Pontypridd Town?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ynyshir Albions vs Pontypridd Town?

Our predicted score is Ynyshir Albions 1–2 Pontypridd Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Ynyshir Albions vs Pontypridd Town?

Ynyshir Albions vs Pontypridd Town (FAW Championship) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Ynyshir Albions v Pontypridd Town: numbers & prediction