llanelli AFC 15%Draw 19%Afan Lido 66%Expected goals 1.19 – 2.54
66%
Betarazi pick
Afan Lido to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
Picks by market
ResultAfan Lido to win ✓66% · @1.55
Double chanceAfan Lido or draw ✓85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72% · fair 1.39
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.86
llanelli AFC vs Afan Lido: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Afan Lido travel to face llanelli AFC on Friday 23 October in the FAW Championship, with Stebonheath Park the venue – the ball rolls at 19:30 WAT. In the table, llanelli AFC are 16th, in the drop zone, on 3 points after 14 matches; Afan Lido are 7th (upper half) with 18. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
llanelli AFC, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–6 defeat to Caerau (Ely), away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Afan Lido, last 5: LDLDW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Penybont, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Afan Lido, collecting 0.8 points per game to 0.0 for llanelli AFC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give llanelli AFC 1.2 xG, Afan Lido 2.5 xG – a total near 3.7. That is an open game on paper: 72% for three or more goals, 65% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – llanelli AFC 15%, draw 19%, Afan Lido 66%.
Lower-risk option: Afan Lido or draw (85%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Afan Lido to win (66%, odds 1.55 – longer than our fair 1.51, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: llanelli AFC 1–2 Afan Lido. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
llanelli AFC15%fair 6.52 · @4.60
Draw19%fair 5.39 · @3.90
Afan Lido66%fair 1.51 · @1.55
3.73Expected goals
1.19llanelli AFC xG
2.54Afan Lido xG
65%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
1–38%
0–28%
1–17%
0–37%
0–16%
From our goals model: llanelli AFC 1.2 – 2.5 Afan Lido expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Afan Lido to win✓
66%
1.51
1.55
Double chance
Afan Lido or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
65%
1.55
1.44
Draw no bet
Afan Lido (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Afan Lido -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
First team to score
Afan Lido to score first✓
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Afan Lido ahead at half-time✓
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Afan Lido / FT Afan Lido✓
45%
2.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.86
–
Recent results
llanelli AFC – last 6
LLLLLL
16 Oct
@ Caerau (Ely)
0–6
L
10 Oct
@ Ynyshir Albions
2–6
L
2 Oct
vs Baglan Dragons
1–2
L
26 Sep
@ Llantwit Major
0–2
L
11 Sep
@ Caerau (Ely)
0–3
L
4 Sep
vs Treowen Stars
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
3.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Afan Lido – last 6
LDLDWL
18 Oct
vs Penybont
2–3
L
9 Oct
vs Swansea University
5–5
D
2 Oct
@ Caerau (Ely)
0–2
L
25 Sep
vs Newport City
0–0
D
11 Sep
@ Pontypridd Town
1–0
W
4 Sep
@ Baglan Dragons
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between llanelli AFC and Afan Lido.
What is the prediction for llanelli AFC vs Afan Lido?
Our pick is Afan Lido to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win llanelli AFC vs Afan Lido?
On our numbers llanelli AFC have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Afan Lido 66%.
How many goals will there be in llanelli AFC vs Afan Lido?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for llanelli AFC vs Afan Lido?
Our predicted score is llanelli AFC 1–2 Afan Lido, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is llanelli AFC vs Afan Lido?
llanelli AFC vs Afan Lido (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stebonheath Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
