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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Trethomas Bluebirds v Cardiff Draconians: numbers & prediction

Trethomas Bluebirds 41%Draw 19%Cardiff Draconians 40% Expected goals 1.71 – 1.70
65%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultTrethomas Bluebirds to win ✓41% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.72
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓65% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.17

Trethomas Bluebirds vs Cardiff Draconians: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Trethomas Bluebirds welcome Cardiff Draconians for a FAW Championship fixture on Friday 23 October (19:45 WAT). In the table, Trethomas Bluebirds are 8th, upper half, on 17 points after 13 matches; Cardiff Draconians are 14th (in the drop zone) with 12.

Current form

Trethomas Bluebirds, last 5: LWLDD Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Cambrian & Clydach, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Cardiff Draconians, last 5: WDDLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Radnor Valley, away. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.

Momentum favours Cardiff Draconians, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Trethomas Bluebirds.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Trethomas Bluebirds 1.7 xG, Cardiff Draconians 1.7 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 65% and GG at 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Trethomas Bluebirds 41%, draw 19%, Cardiff Draconians 40%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Trethomas Bluebirds 2–1 Cardiff Draconians. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Trethomas Bluebirds41%fair 2.47 · @2.10
Draw19%fair 5.16 · @3.80
Cardiff Draconians40%fair 2.50 · @2.62
3.41Expected goals
1.71Trethomas Bluebirds xG
1.70Cardiff Draconians xG
58%Both score
65%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%

From our goals model: Trethomas Bluebirds 1.7 – 1.7 Cardiff Draconians expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTrethomas Bluebirds to win ✓41%2.472.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81%1.241.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.72–
Draw no betTrethomas Bluebirds (draw no bet) ✓50%1.99–
Asian handicapCardiff Draconians +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85%1.17–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓65%1.531.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗56%1.80–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓74%1.35–
First team to scoreTrethomas Bluebirds to score first49%2.06–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗37%2.72–
Half-time / full-timeHT Trethomas Bluebirds / FT Trethomas Bluebirds ✓23%4.29–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.17–

Recent results

Trethomas Bluebirds – last 6

LWLDDW
16 Oct@ Cambrian & Clydach0–5L
10 Oct@ Treowen Stars3–1W
3 Octvs Pontardawe Town2–3L
26 Sep@ Ynyshir Albions1–1D
4 Sepvs Caerphilly Athletic2–2D
31 Aug@ Carmarthen Town3–2W
1.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Cardiff Draconians – last 6

WDDLWW
17 Oct@ Radnor Valley3–1W
10 Octvs Carmarthen Town2–2D
3 Octvs Newport City1–1D
26 Sepvs Caerau (Ely)1–3L
12 Sepvs Baglan Dragons2–1W
22 Augvs llanelli AFC4–2W
2.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Trethomas Bluebirds and Cardiff Draconians.

Trethomas Bluebirds vs Cardiff Draconians head-to-head page →

FAW Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Pontypridd Town13832+1327
2Aberystwyth Town11812+1825
3Swansea University11731+1924
4Caerau (Ely)13715+122
5Baglan Dragons13625020
6Ynyshir Albions11542+719
7Afan Lido14536-218
8Trethomas Bluebirds13454+317
9Treowen Stars12525-117
10Carmarthen Town13436-615
11Pontardawe Town11425-114
12Caerphilly Athletic13427-714
13Newport City11344+413
14Cardiff Draconians11335-512
15Llantwit Major12336-1212
16llanelli AFC140311-313

More FAW Championship predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Trethomas Bluebirds vs Cardiff Draconians?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Trethomas Bluebirds vs Cardiff Draconians?

On our numbers Trethomas Bluebirds have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Cardiff Draconians 40%.

How many goals will there be in Trethomas Bluebirds vs Cardiff Draconians?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Trethomas Bluebirds vs Cardiff Draconians?

Our predicted score is Trethomas Bluebirds 2–1 Cardiff Draconians, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Trethomas Bluebirds vs Cardiff Draconians?

Trethomas Bluebirds vs Cardiff Draconians (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.