Newport City 38%Draw 22%Pontypridd Town 40%Expected goals 1.70 – 1.74
65%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultPontypridd Town to win ✗40% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.50
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · fair 1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.10
Newport City vs Pontypridd Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Newport City welcome Pontypridd Town for a FAW Championship fixture on Friday 23 October (19:30 WAT). In the table, Newport City are 13th, lower half, on 13 points after 11 matches; Pontypridd Town are 1st (leading the league) with 27. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Newport City, last 5: WLDDL Their latest outing: 5–4 win over Carmarthen Town, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Pontypridd Town, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Baglan Dragons, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Newport City 1.7 xG, Pontypridd Town 1.7 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 67% and GG at 65%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Newport City 38%, draw 22%, Pontypridd Town 40%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Newport City 1–1 Pontypridd Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Newport City38%fair 2.61 · @2.30
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @3.25
Pontypridd Town40%fair 2.49 · @2.60
3.44Expected goals
1.70Newport City xG
1.74Pontypridd Town xG
65%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–05%
From our goals model: Newport City 1.7 – 1.7 Pontypridd Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pontypridd Town to win✗
40%
2.49
2.60
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.53
1.50
Draw no bet
Pontypridd Town (draw no bet)
51%
1.95
–
Asian handicap
Newport City +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
–
First team to score
Pontypridd Town to score first✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.74
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pontypridd Town / FT Pontypridd Town✗
24%
4.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.10
–
Recent results
Newport City – last 6
WLDDLL
17 Oct
@ Carmarthen Town
5–4
W
9 Oct
@ Caerphilly Athletic
2–3
L
3 Oct
@ Cardiff Draconians
1–1
D
25 Sep
@ Afan Lido
0–0
D
28 Aug
vs Ynyshir Albions
0–1
L
21 Aug
vs Baglan Dragons
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Pontypridd Town – last 6
DWLWLD
10 Oct
@ Baglan Dragons
1–1
D
6 Oct
vs Llantwit Major
4–1
W
3 Oct
vs Aberystwyth Town
1–3
L
25 Sep
@ Caerphilly Athletic
2–1
W
11 Sep
vs Afan Lido
0–1
L
28 Aug
@ Swansea University
4–4
D
2.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Newport City and Pontypridd Town.
What is the prediction for Newport City vs Pontypridd Town?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Newport City vs Pontypridd Town?
On our numbers Newport City have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Pontypridd Town 40%.
How many goals will there be in Newport City vs Pontypridd Town?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Newport City vs Pontypridd Town?
Our predicted score is Newport City 1–1 Pontypridd Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Newport City vs Pontypridd Town?
Newport City vs Pontypridd Town (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
