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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Monarcas v CDS Tampico Madero: numbers & prediction

Liga De Expansión MX · Mexico · Estadio Morelos
1–2
FT
Monarcas 63%Draw 19%CDS Tampico Madero 17% Expected goals 1.91 – 0.84
63%
Betarazi pick

Monarcas to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultMonarcas to win ✗63% · @1.44
Double chanceMonarcas or draw ✗83% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.20

Monarcas vs CDS Tampico Madero: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

02:00 WAT, Sunday 18 October: Monarcas v CDS Tampico Madero in the Liga De Expansión MX, played at Estadio Morelos. In the table, Monarcas are 3rd, among the top four, on 26 points after 15 matches; CDS Tampico Madero are 14th (in the drop zone) with 15.

Current form

Monarcas, last 5: DDLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Tepatitlán, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

CDS Tampico Madero, last 5: DLLDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Durango, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Monarcas, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for CDS Tampico Madero.

Head to head

When they last met (20 Apr 2026) it ended CDS Tampico Madero 1–0 Monarcas.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Monarcas 1.9 xG, CDS Tampico Madero 0.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Monarcas 63%, draw 19%, CDS Tampico Madero 17%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Monarcas to win (63%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Monarcas 1–0 CDS Tampico Madero. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Monarcas63%fair 1.57 · @1.44
Draw19%fair 5.17 · @4.00
CDS Tampico Madero17%fair 5.83 · @5.50
2.75Expected goals
1.91Monarcas xG
0.84CDS Tampico Madero xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%

From our goals model: Monarcas 1.9 – 0.8 CDS Tampico Madero expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMonarcas to win ✗63%1.571.44
Double chanceMonarcas or draw ✗83%1.211.12
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.741.70
Draw no betMonarcas (draw no bet) ✗79%1.27–
Asian handicapMonarcas -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓52%1.93–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.42–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.17–
First team to scoreMonarcas to score first ✓65%1.54–
Half-time resultMonarcas ahead at half-time ✓45%2.24–
Half-time / full-timeHT Monarcas / FT Monarcas ✗40%2.53–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.20–

Recent results

Monarcas – last 6

DDLWWW
10 Oct@ Tepatitlán1–1D
4 Octvs Tlaxcala1–1D
27 Sep@ Venados FC1–2L
20 Sepvs Leones Negros UDG2–0W
13 Sep@ Mineros de Zacatecas1–0W
6 Sepvs Alebrijes de Oaxaca4–1W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

CDS Tampico Madero – last 6

DLLDLW
11 Octvs Durango0–0D
3 Oct@ Tepatitlán1–3L
26 Sep@ Correcaminos Uat0–1L
20 Sepvs Dorados1–1D
12 Sep@ Tlaxcala1–3L
6 Sepvs Venados FC4–3W
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

20 Apr 2026CDS Tampico Madero v Monarcas1–0
Monarcas vs CDS Tampico Madero head-to-head page →

Liga De Expansión MX table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CA La Paz15933+1830
2Leones Negros UDG15933+1430
3Monarcas15825+726
4Piratas15744+1225
5Cancún15744+1025
6Venados FC15744+625
7Durango15735+624
8Tlaxcala15645+222
9Alebrijes de Oaxaca15717-1022
10Mineros de Zacatecas15537018
11Tapatío15537-318
12Correcaminos Uat15456-317
13Dorados15447-916
14CDS Tampico Madero15438-1015
15Cruz Azul Hidalgo15357-714
16Tepatitlán152112-337

More Liga De Expansión MX predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Monarcas vs CDS Tampico Madero?

Our pick is Monarcas to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Monarcas vs CDS Tampico Madero?

On our numbers Monarcas have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 19% and CDS Tampico Madero 17%.

How many goals will there be in Monarcas vs CDS Tampico Madero?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Monarcas vs CDS Tampico Madero?

Our predicted score is Monarcas 1–0 CDS Tampico Madero, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Monarcas vs CDS Tampico Madero?

Monarcas vs CDS Tampico Madero (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Morelos.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.