Cancún 62%Draw 17%Venados FC 21%Expected goals 2.34 – 1.29
67%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
1
Value bet: Cancún to win @ 1.91 – our chance 62% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCancún to win ✗62% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✗83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.50
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗70% · fair 1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.68
Cancún vs Venados FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 18 October the Liga De Expansión MX brings Cancún against Venados FC. Kick-off: 02:00 WAT. In the table, Cancún are 5th, upper half, on 25 points after 15 matches; Venados FC are 6th (upper half) with 25. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Cancún, last 5: DWLWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Mineros de Zacatecas, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Venados FC, last 5: DWWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Leones Negros UDG, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cancún 2.3 xG, Venados FC 1.3 xG – a total near 3.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 70% and GG at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cancún 62%, draw 17%, Venados FC 21%.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Cancún to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (67%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cancún 2–1 Venados FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cancún62%fair 1.61 · @1.91
Draw17%fair 5.96 · @3.60
Venados FC21%fair 4.70 · @3.25
3.63Expected goals
2.34Cancún xG
1.29Venados FC xG
67%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–07%
1–06%
2–26%
From our goals model: Cancún 2.3 – 1.3 Venados FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cancún to win✗
62%
1.61
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
83%
1.20
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
67%
1.48
1.50
Draw no bet
Cancún (draw no bet)
74%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Cancún -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
First team to score
Cancún to score first✓
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Cancún ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cancún / FT Cancún✗
40%
2.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.68
–
Recent results
Cancún – last 6
DWLWDD
11 Oct
@ Mineros de Zacatecas
2–2
D
4 Oct
vs Tapatío
1–0
W
26 Sep
@ Tlaxcala
1–4
L
20 Sep
vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca
3–0
W
16 Sep
@ Dorados
1–1
D
12 Sep
@ Correcaminos Uat
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Venados FC – last 6
DWWLWL
11 Oct
vs Leones Negros UDG
1–1
D
3 Oct
@ CA La Paz
2–1
W
27 Sep
vs Monarcas
2–1
W
19 Sep
@ Piratas
1–2
L
13 Sep
vs Tepatitlán
5–0
W
6 Sep
@ CDS Tampico Madero
3–4
L
2.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cancún and Venados FC.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Cancún vs Venados FC?
On our numbers Cancún have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Venados FC 21%.
How many goals will there be in Cancún vs Venados FC?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cancún vs Venados FC?
Our predicted score is Cancún 2–1 Venados FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Cancún vs Venados FC?
Cancún vs Venados FC (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
