Busan Transportation v Suwon Bluewings Prediction & Expected Goals (15 Jul) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultSuwon Bluewings to win ✗51% · @1.75

Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.22

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.53

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.46

Busan Transportation vs Suwon Bluewings: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Busan Transportation welcome Suwon Bluewings for a FA Cup fixture on Wednesday 15 July (11:00 WAT).

Current form

Busan Transportation, last 5: WWLDD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Siheung Citizen, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Suwon Bluewings, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Ansan Greeners, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Busan Transportation 1.2 xG, Suwon Bluewings 1.7 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 59%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Busan Transportation 25%, draw 24%, Suwon Bluewings 51%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.53.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Busan Transportation 1–1 Suwon Bluewings. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Busan Transportation25%fair 4.03 · @3.60

Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.75

Suwon Bluewings51%fair 1.95 · @1.75

2.91Expected goals

1.20Busan Transportation xG

1.71Suwon Bluewings xG

59%Both score

56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%

1–210%

0–19%

0–28%

2–17%

1–07%

From our goals model: Busan Transportation 1.2 – 1.7 Suwon Bluewings expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Suwon Bluewings to win ✗	51%	1.95	1.75
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	76%	1.31	1.22
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	59%	1.68	1.53
Draw no bet	Suwon Bluewings (draw no bet)	67%	1.48	–
Asian handicap	Busan Transportation +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	66%	1.53	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	79%	1.27	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	56%	1.79	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	67%	1.50	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	83%	1.21	–
First team to score	Suwon Bluewings to score first ✓	56%	1.80	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	40%	2.50	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Suwon Bluewings / FT Suwon Bluewings ✗	30%	3.32	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	10%	10.46	–

Market

Most likely

Chance

Fair odds

Bookmaker

Match result

Suwon Bluewings to win ✗

51%

1.95

1.75

Double chance

Either team to win ✗

76%

1.31

1.22

Both teams to score

Both teams to score ✓

59%

1.68

1.53

Draw no bet

Suwon Bluewings (draw no bet)

67%

1.48

–

Asian handicap

Busan Transportation +1 (Asian handicap) ✓

66%

1.53

–

Over/under 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals ✓

79%

1.27

–

Over/under 2.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals ✗

56%

1.79

–

Over/under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals ✓

67%

1.50

–

Over/under 4.5 goals

Under 4.5 goals ✓

83%

1.21

–

First team to score

Suwon Bluewings to score first ✓

56%

1.80

–

Half-time result

Level at half-time ✗

40%

2.50

–

Half-time / full-time

HT Suwon Bluewings / FT Suwon Bluewings ✗

30%

3.32

–

Correct score

Correct score 1–2 ✗

10%

10.46

–

11 Jul	@ Siheung Citizen	2–0	W
5 Jul	vs Gijang United	2–1	W
28 Jun	vs Daejeon Korail	0–1	L
21 Jun	vs Gyeongju HNP	1–1	D
6 Jun	@ Pocheon	1–1	D
30 May	@ Jeonbuk Motors II	2–1	W

11 Jul	@ Ansan Greeners	1–2	L
4 Jul	vs Seongnam FC	1–0	W
6 Jun	@ Hwaseong	2–1	W
30 May	@ Asan Mugunghwa	1–2	L
25 May	vs Cheonan City	3–2	W
9 May	vs Daegu FC	0–0	D

Busan Transportation v Suwon Bluewings: numbers & prediction