Value bet: Bournemouth to win @ 2.90 – our chance 45% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +31%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBournemouth to win ✓45% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · fair 1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓74% · @1.36
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 13.93
FC Augsburg vs Bournemouth: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 30 July the Friendlies Clubs brings FC Augsburg against Bournemouth. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT.
Current form
FC Augsburg, last 5: DDWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with FC Saarbrücken, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Bournemouth, last 5: WDDWD Their latest outing: 4–1 win over FC St. Pauli, at home. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Momentum favours FC Augsburg, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.7 for Bournemouth.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Augsburg 2.0 xG, Bournemouth 2.3 xG – a total near 4.3. That is an open game on paper: 76% for three or more goals, 74% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Augsburg 37%, draw 18%, Bournemouth 45%.
GG/NG: GG (74%) at 1.36.
Price worth noting: Bournemouth to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 45%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (76%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Augsburg 1–2 Bournemouth. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Augsburg37%fair 2.72 · @1.91
Draw18%fair 5.55 · @4.00
Bournemouth45%fair 2.21 · @2.90
4.31Expected goals
1.99FC Augsburg xG
2.32Bournemouth xG
74%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–27%
2–27%
1–16%
2–16%
1–36%
2–36%
From our goals model: FC Augsburg 2.0 – 2.3 Bournemouth expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
FC Augsburg
Bournemouth
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average
+59%
+75%
Goals conceded vs average
+6%
-13%
Our expected goals here
2.41
3.00
Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bournemouth to win✓
45%
2.21
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
82%
1.22
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
74%
1.36
1.36
Draw no bet
Bournemouth (draw no bet)✓
55%
1.81
–
Asian handicap
FC Augsburg +1 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
1.08
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.80
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
62%
1.63
1.40
First team to score
Bournemouth to score first✓
53%
1.88
–
Half-time result
Bournemouth ahead at half-time✓
38%
2.64
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bournemouth / FT Bournemouth✓
29%
3.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
13.93
–
Recent results
FC Augsburg – last 5
DDWWW
25 Jul
vs FC Saarbrücken
1–1
D
10 Apr
vs 1899 Hoffenheim
2–2
D
27 Feb
vs 1. FC Köln
2–0
W
21 Feb
@ VfL Wolfsburg
3–2
W
15 Feb
vs 1. FC Heidenheim
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Bournemouth – last 6
WDDWDD
24 Jul
vs FC St. Pauli
4–1
W
24 May
@ Nottingham Forest
1–1
D
19 May
vs Manchester City
1–1
D
3 May
vs Crystal Palace
3–0
W
22 Apr
vs Leeds
2–2
D
20 Mar
vs Manchester United
2–2
D
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Augsburg and Bournemouth.
What is the prediction for FC Augsburg vs Bournemouth?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win FC Augsburg vs Bournemouth?
On our numbers FC Augsburg have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Bournemouth 45%.
How many goals will there be in FC Augsburg vs Bournemouth?
We expect about 4.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 74% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Augsburg vs Bournemouth?
Our predicted score is FC Augsburg 1–2 Bournemouth, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.3 goals in total.
When is FC Augsburg vs Bournemouth?
FC Augsburg vs Bournemouth (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Thursday 30 July 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mantova6
Alcione2
Monza1
Aris Thessalonikis3
Marseille2
Nimes1