Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.35 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.35Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 57% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMarseille to win ✓71% · @1.14
Double chanceMarseille or draw ✓88% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · @1.10
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.19
Marseille vs Nimes: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Thursday 30 July: Marseille v Nimes in the Friendlies Clubs.
Current form
Marseille, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Rennes, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Marseille 2.3 xG, Nimes 1.0 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 67% and GG at 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Marseille 71%, draw 17%, Nimes 12%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Marseille 2–1 Nimes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Marseille71%fair 1.42 · @1.14
Draw17%fair 5.87 · @7.90
Nimes12%fair 8.05 · @14.50
3.28Expected goals
2.25Marseille xG
1.03Nimes xG
57%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–010%
1–19%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Marseille 2.3 – 1.0 Nimes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Marseille
Nimes
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average
+5%
-13%
Goals conceded vs average
-9%
+14%
Our expected goals here
1.88
1.13
Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Marseille to win✓
71%
1.42
1.14
Double chance
Marseille or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Marseille (draw no bet)✓
85%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
Marseille -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.10
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.35
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.90
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.38
First team to score
Marseille to score first
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Marseille ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Marseille / FT Marseille✗
42%
2.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.19
–
Recent results
Marseille – last 6
WWLLWL
17 May
vs Rennes
3–1
W
10 Apr
vs Metz
3–1
W
5 Apr
@ Monaco
1–2
L
22 Mar
vs Lille
1–2
L
13 Mar
vs Auxerre
1–0
W
20 Feb
@ Stade Brestois 29
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Nimes – last 2
LL
22 Jul
@ Rodez
1–2
L
18 Jul
@ Nice
0–4
L
0.5Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Marseille and Nimes.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Marseille vs Nimes?
On our numbers Marseille have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Nimes 12%.
How many goals will there be in Marseille vs Nimes?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Marseille vs Nimes?
Our predicted score is Marseille 2–1 Nimes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Marseille vs Nimes?
Marseille vs Nimes (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Thursday 30 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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