Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
Picks by market
ResultMantova to win ✓40% · @6.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · fair 1.27
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.89
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.94
Mantova vs Alcione: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Alcione travel to face Mantova on Thursday 30 July in the Friendlies Clubs – the ball rolls at 16:30 WAT.
Current form
Mantova, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Frosinone, away. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Alcione, last 5: LDLLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Torino, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Momentum favours Mantova, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.5 for Alcione.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mantova 1.9 xG, Alcione 1.5 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 53% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mantova 40%, draw 22%, Alcione 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (61%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mantova 2–1 Alcione. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mantova40%fair 2.50 · @6.25
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.80
Alcione38%fair 2.60 · @1.44
3.33Expected goals
1.87Mantova xG
1.46Alcione xG
53%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–27%
1–07%
2–27%
2–06%
From our goals model: Mantova 1.9 – 1.5 Alcione expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Mantova
Alcione
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average
+21%
-5%
Goals conceded vs average
-5%
+23%
Our expected goals here
1.99
1.10
Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mantova to win✓
40%
2.50
6.25 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.27
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
–
Draw no bet
Mantova (draw no bet)✓
51%
1.96
–
Asian handicap
Alcione +1 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.74
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
First team to score
Mantova to score first✓
54%
1.85
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.70
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mantova / FT Mantova✓
29%
3.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.94
–
Recent results
Mantova – last 6
LWWWWL
8 May
@ Frosinone
0–5
L
1 May
vs Monza
3–2
W
6 Apr
vs Virtus Entella
1–0
W
17 Mar
vs Cesena
3–0
W
8 Mar
vs Juve Stabia
2–0
W
4 Mar
@ Palermo
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Alcione – last 6
LDLLDD
22 Jul
@ Torino
0–1
L
19 Apr
@ Virtus Verona
1–1
D
10 Apr
vs Lecco
0–2
L
22 Mar
@ Novara
0–3
L
13 Mar
vs Union Brescia
0–0
D
3 Mar
vs Giana Erminio
1–1
D
0.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mantova and Alcione.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Mantova vs Alcione?
On our numbers Mantova have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Alcione 38%.
How many goals will there be in Mantova vs Alcione?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mantova vs Alcione?
Our predicted score is Mantova 2–1 Alcione, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Mantova vs Alcione?
Mantova vs Alcione (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Thursday 30 July 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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