Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.96
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.50
Moreirense vs Amarante: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Moreirense welcome Amarante for a Friendlies Clubs fixture on Saturday 1 August (10:30 WAT).
Current form
Moreirense, last 5: DLDLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with GIL Vicente, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Amarante, last 5: LWDWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Chaves, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Amarante, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Moreirense.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Moreirense 1.6 xG, Amarante 1.1 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Moreirense 50%, draw 27%, Amarante 23%.
Lower-risk option: Moreirense or draw (77%) at 1.17.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (52%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Moreirense 1–1 Amarante. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Moreirense50%fair 2.01 · @1.83
Draw27%fair 3.65 · @3.20
Amarante23%fair 4.39 · @3.85
2.75Expected goals
1.63Moreirense xG
1.11Amarante xG
51%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
1–26%
From our goals model: Moreirense 1.6 – 1.1 Amarante expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Moreirense
Amarante
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average
+3%
-14%
Goals conceded vs average
-2%
+3%
Our expected goals here
1.39
1.04
Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Moreirense to win✓
50%
2.01
1.83
Double chance
Moreirense or draw✓
77%
1.29
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
–
Draw no bet
Moreirense (draw no bet)✓
69%
1.46
–
Asian handicap
Amarante +1 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Moreirense to score first✓
56%
1.80
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Moreirense / FT Moreirense✓
30%
3.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.50
–
Recent results
Moreirense – last 6
DLDLWD
25 Jul
@ GIL Vicente
2–2
D
22 Jul
@ Santa Clara
1–2
L
18 Jul
vs AVS
2–2
D
11 May
@ Tondela
0–2
L
20 Apr
vs Estoril
1–0
W
10 Apr
@ Famalicao
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Amarante – last 6
LWDWDW
22 Jul
@ Chaves
1–2
L
10 May
vs União Santarém
1–0
W
1 May
@ Trofense
0–0
D
19 Apr
@ Mafra
4–1
W
29 Mar
vs Academica
1–1
D
22 Mar
vs Guimaraes B
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Moreirense and Amarante.
What is the prediction for Moreirense vs Amarante?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Moreirense vs Amarante?
On our numbers Moreirense have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Amarante 23%.
How many goals will there be in Moreirense vs Amarante?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Moreirense vs Amarante?
Our predicted score is Moreirense 1–1 Amarante, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Moreirense vs Amarante?
Moreirense vs Amarante (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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