De Graafschap 23%Draw 17%Excelsior 60%Expected goals 1.97 – 3.31
60%
Betarazi pick
Excelsior to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.85Odds
Picks by market
ResultExcelsior to win ✓60% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · fair 1.55
GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–3 ✗6% · fair 16.48
De Graafschap vs Excelsior: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Excelsior travel to face De Graafschap on Saturday 1 August in the Friendlies Clubs – the ball rolls at 10:30 WAT.
Current form
De Graafschap, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Kifisia, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Excelsior, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 5–3 win over Heracles, away. Away from home the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 3.5 goals per game.
Momentum favours Excelsior, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.0 for De Graafschap.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give De Graafschap 2.0 xG, Excelsior 3.3 xG – a total near 5.3. That is an open game on paper: 90% for three or more goals, 64% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – De Graafschap 23%, draw 17%, Excelsior 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Excelsior to win (60%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.66, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: De Graafschap 1–3 Excelsior. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
De Graafschap23%fair 4.31 · @2.95
Draw17%fair 6.03 · @4.20
Excelsior60%fair 1.66 · @1.85
5.28Expected goals
1.97De Graafschap xG
3.31Excelsior xG
64%Both score
90%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–36%
2–36%
1–26%
2–25%
1–45%
2–45%
From our goals model: De Graafschap 2.0 – 3.3 Excelsior expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
De Graafschap
Excelsior
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average
+12%
+40%
Goals conceded vs average
+49%
-9%
Our expected goals here
1.77
3.38
Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Excelsior to win✓
60%
1.66
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
83%
1.20
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.55
–
Draw no bet
Excelsior (draw no bet)✓
72%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
Excelsior -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
97%
1.03
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
90%
1.12
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Over 4.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
2.00 ▲
First team to score
Excelsior to score first✓
62%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Excelsior ahead at half-time✓
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Excelsior / FT Excelsior✓
43%
2.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–3✗
6%
16.48
–
Recent results
De Graafschap – last 6
WLLLWL
25 Jul
vs Kifisia
4–2
W
17 Jul
vs Telstar
3–6
L
12 Jul
vs AEK Athens FC
1–2
L
3 Jul
@ Heerenveen
2–7
L
27 Jun
@ Utrecht
2–1
W
6 May
@ Almere City FC
1–3
L
2.2Scored / game
3.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Excelsior – last 6
WWWWWW
24 Jul
@ Heracles
5–3
W
18 Jul
@ NAC Breda
3–1
W
11 Jul
@ Dordrecht
2–0
W
4 Jul
vs Cambuur
3–2
W
17 May
@ Sparta Rotterdam
3–2
W
26 Apr
vs Utrecht
5–0
W
3.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between De Graafschap and Excelsior.
What is the prediction for De Graafschap vs Excelsior?
Our pick is Excelsior to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win De Graafschap vs Excelsior?
On our numbers De Graafschap have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Excelsior 60%.
How many goals will there be in De Graafschap vs Excelsior?
We expect about 5.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 90% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for De Graafschap vs Excelsior?
Our predicted score is De Graafschap 1–3 Excelsior, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 5.3 goals in total.
When is De Graafschap vs Excelsior?
De Graafschap vs Excelsior (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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