Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
O2.5
Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.73 – our chance 67% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultLazio to win ✓57% · @1.67
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.73
Lazio vs Avellino: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Lazio welcome Avellino for a Friendlies Clubs fixture on Saturday 1 August (08:30 WAT).
Current form
Lazio, last 5: WLLWD Their latest outing: 6–0 win over Flaminia, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Avellino, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Sambenedettese, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lazio 2.6 xG, Avellino 1.7 xG – a total near 4.3. That is an open game on paper: 67% for three or more goals, 65% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lazio 57%, draw 22%, Avellino 22%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Over 2.5 goals @1.73 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 67%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (84%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.19, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lazio 2–1 Avellino. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lazio57%fair 1.76 · @1.67
Draw22%fair 4.65 · @3.65
Avellino22%fair 4.60 · @4.50
4.27Expected goals
2.58Lazio xG
1.69Avellino xG
65%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–18%
3–17%
2–27%
1–16%
3–26%
1–25%
From our goals model: Lazio 2.6 – 1.7 Avellino expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Lazio
Avellino
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average
+58%
+29%
Goals conceded vs average
-6%
+4%
Our expected goals here
2.84
1.97
Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lazio to win✓
57%
1.76
1.67
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.27
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.53
1.67 ▲
Draw no bet
Lazio (draw no bet)✓
72%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
Avellino +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.73 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
58%
1.74
–
First team to score
Lazio to score first
60%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Lazio ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lazio / FT Lazio✓
37%
2.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.73
–
Recent results
Lazio – last 6
WLLWDL
26 Jul
vs Flaminia
6–0
W
17 May
@ AS Roma
0–2
L
13 May
vs Inter
0–2
L
4 May
@ Cremonese
2–1
W
27 Apr
vs Udinese
3–3
D
13 Apr
@ Fiorentina
0–1
L
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Avellino – last 6
WWLWLL
26 Jul
@ Sambenedettese
5–0
W
22 Jul
vs Scafatese
3–1
W
12 May
@ Catanzaro
0–3
L
8 May
vs Modena
1–0
W
1 May
@ Empoli
0–1
L
5 Apr
@ Palermo
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lazio and Avellino.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Lazio vs Avellino?
On our numbers Lazio have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Avellino 22%.
How many goals will there be in Lazio vs Avellino?
We expect about 4.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lazio vs Avellino?
Our predicted score is Lazio 2–1 Avellino, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.3 goals in total.
When is Lazio vs Avellino?
Lazio vs Avellino (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 08:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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