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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Bayer Leverkusen v Rot-Weiß Essen: numbers & prediction

3–0
FT
Bayer Leverkusen 66%Draw 18%Rot-Weiß Essen 16% Expected goals 2.74 – 1.53
77%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultBayer Leverkusen to win ✓66% · @1.20
Double chanceBayer Leverkusen or draw ✓84% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗69% · @1.57
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.45

Bayer Leverkusen vs Rot-Weiß Essen: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 1 August the Friendlies Clubs brings Bayer Leverkusen against Rot-Weiß Essen. Kick-off: 10:00 WAT.

Current form

Bayer Leverkusen, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Genk, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Rot-Weiß Essen, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Borussia Mönchengladbach, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 3.0 a game lately.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bayer Leverkusen 2.7 xG, Rot-Weiß Essen 1.5 xG – a total near 4.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 77% and GG at 69%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Bayer Leverkusen 66%, draw 18%, Rot-Weiß Essen 16%.
  • GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bayer Leverkusen 2–1 Rot-Weiß Essen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bayer Leverkusen66%fair 1.51 · @1.20
Draw18%fair 5.60 · @6.00
Rot-Weiß Essen16%fair 6.35 · @10.75
4.27Expected goals
2.74Bayer Leverkusen xG
1.53Rot-Weiß Essen xG
69%Both score
77%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–18%
3–17%
2–26%
1–16%
3–26%
2–05%

From our goals model: Bayer Leverkusen 2.7 – 1.5 Rot-Weiß Essen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Bayer LeverkusenRot-Weiß Essen
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average+40%+30%
Goals conceded vs average-27%-4%
Our expected goals here2.321.53

Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBayer Leverkusen to win ✓66%1.511.20
Double chanceBayer Leverkusen or draw ✓84%1.191.01
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗69%1.461.57 ▲
Draw no betBayer Leverkusen (draw no bet) ✓81%1.24–
Asian handicapBayer Leverkusen -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.58–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓93%1.08–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓77%1.301.25
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗59%1.701.67
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓60%1.671.50
First team to scoreBayer Leverkusen to score first ✓63%1.58–
Half-time resultBayer Leverkusen ahead at half-time ✓49%2.05–
Half-time / full-timeHT Bayer Leverkusen / FT Bayer Leverkusen ✓42%2.37–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.45–

Recent results

Bayer Leverkusen – last 6

WWWLLD
29 Julvs Genk4–0W
25 Jul@ Kickers Offenbach3–1W
18 Jul@ SF Baumberg7–0W
22 Aprvs Bayern München0–2L
17 Mar@ Arsenal0–2L
11 Marvs Arsenal1–1D
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Rot-Weiß Essen – last 6

LLWWLW
25 Julvs Borussia Mönchengladbach1–2L
17 Jul@ Ried0–3L
11 Julvs SW Essen5–1W
4 Jul@ Bottrop11–0W
26 May@ SpVgg Greuther Fürth0–2L
22 Mayvs SpVgg Greuther Fürth1–0W
3.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Bayer Leverkusen and Rot-Weiß Essen.

Bayer Leverkusen vs Rot-Weiß Essen head-to-head page →

More Friendlies Clubs predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bayer Leverkusen vs Rot-Weiß Essen?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Bayer Leverkusen vs Rot-Weiß Essen?

On our numbers Bayer Leverkusen have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Rot-Weiß Essen 16%.

How many goals will there be in Bayer Leverkusen vs Rot-Weiß Essen?

We expect about 4.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 77% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bayer Leverkusen vs Rot-Weiß Essen?

Our predicted score is Bayer Leverkusen 2–1 Rot-Weiß Essen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.3 goals in total.

When is Bayer Leverkusen vs Rot-Weiß Essen?

Bayer Leverkusen vs Rot-Weiß Essen (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.