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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Canvey Island v Aveley: numbers & prediction

Friendlies Clubs · World

Canvey Island

LLWLL
1–4
FT

Aveley

WWLLW
Canvey Island 30%Draw 21%Aveley 49% Expected goals 1.76 – 2.01
67%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.44Odds
1

Value bet: Canvey Island to win @ 3.50 – our chance 30% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultAveley to win ✓49% · @1.73
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.22

Canvey Island vs Aveley: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Aveley travel to face Canvey Island on Tuesday 28 July in the Friendlies Clubs – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT.

Current form

Canvey Island, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Billericay Town, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Aveley, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 5–1 win over Brightlingsea Regent, away. The attack is flying at 2.8 goals per game.

Momentum favours Aveley, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.6 for Canvey Island.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Canvey Island 1.8 xG, Aveley 2.0 xG – a total near 3.8. That is an open game on paper: 73% for three or more goals, 67% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Canvey Island 30%, draw 21%, Aveley 49%.
  • GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.44.
  • Price worth noting: Canvey Island to win @3.50 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 30%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (67%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Canvey Island 1–2 Aveley. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Canvey Island30%fair 3.29 · @3.50
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @4.00
Aveley49%fair 2.05 · @1.73
3.77Expected goals
1.76Canvey Island xG
2.01Aveley xG
67%Both score
73%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–28%
1–18%
2–27%
2–17%
1–35%
2–35%

From our goals model: Canvey Island 1.8 – 2.0 Aveley expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Canvey IslandAveley
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average-9%+31%
Goals conceded vs average+13%+35%
Our expected goals here1.841.76

Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAveley to win ✓49%2.051.73
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.261.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓67%1.481.44
Draw no betAveley (draw no bet) ✓62%1.62–
Asian handicapCanvey Island +1 (Asian handicap) ✗69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73%1.38–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓52%1.92–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗67%1.48–
First team to scoreAveley to score first52%1.92–
Half-time resultAveley ahead at half-time ✓36%2.79–
Half-time / full-timeHT Aveley / FT Aveley ✓27%3.67–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.22–

Recent results

Canvey Island – last 5

LLWLL
6 Apr@ Billericay Town2–3L
17 Marvs Chatham Town0–1L
10 Marvs Chichester City3–1W
24 Feb@ Wingate & Finchley0–2L
21 Feb@ Chichester City0–3L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5

Aveley – last 6

WWLLWW
25 Jul@ Brightlingsea Regent5–1W
18 Julvs Braintree3–2W
14 Julvs Ebbsfleet United1–4L
10 Julvs Leiston2–4L
7 Julvs Folkestone Invicta3–2W
6 Aprvs Hashtag United3–1W
2.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Canvey Island and Aveley.

Canvey Island vs Aveley head-to-head page →

More Friendlies Clubs predictions

League hub
FT Chelsea6 Western Sydney Wanderers4 173%1.14X17%7.50211%17.50 2.8–1.1xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 73%@1.30 ✓
FT NAC Breda3 OFI2 149%1.84X22%3.90229%3.70 1.6–1.4xG GGBoth teams to score 66%@1.45 ✓
FT Solihull Moors1 Burton Albion1 126%4.33X25%3.70249%1.67 1.2–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.25 ✓
FT Morecambe1 AFC Fylde1 136%2.50X23%3.75242%2.25 1.6–1.7xG GGBoth teams to score 65%@1.44 ✓
FT Fleetwood Town1 Bolton1 122%6.00X21%5.00257%1.36 1.0–1.5xG 2Bolton to win 57%@1.36 ✗
FT Grimsby5 Lincoln1 132%5.10X22%4.10246%1.53 1.4–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.20 ✓
FT Oldham0 Stockport County1 123%3.70X25%3.60252%1.80 1.1–1.7xG X2Stockport County or draw 77%@1.25 ✓
FT Swindon Town2 Leyton Orient1 131%2.90X23%3.55246%2.10 1.5–1.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 81%@1.20 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Canvey Island vs Aveley?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Canvey Island vs Aveley?

On our numbers Canvey Island have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Aveley 49%.

How many goals will there be in Canvey Island vs Aveley?

We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Canvey Island vs Aveley?

Our predicted score is Canvey Island 1–2 Aveley, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.

When is Canvey Island vs Aveley?

Canvey Island vs Aveley (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Tuesday 28 July 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.