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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Aldershot Town v Harrogate Town: numbers & prediction

National League · England · EBB Stadium at Recreation Ground
3–1
FT
Aldershot Town 23%Draw 22%Harrogate Town 55% Expected goals 1.16 – 1.92
63%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.48 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.48Odds
2

Value bet: Harrogate Town to win @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultHarrogate Town to win ✗55% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.18

Aldershot Town vs Harrogate Town: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Harrogate Town travel to face Aldershot Town on Friday 28 August in the National League, with EBB Stadium at Recreation Ground the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, Aldershot Town are 14th, lower half, on 21 points after 16 matches; Harrogate Town are 2nd (among the top four) with 32.

Current form

Aldershot Town, last 5: DDLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Kidderminster Harriers, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Harrogate Town, last 5: DWWWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Barrow, at home. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours Harrogate Town, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.8 for Aldershot Town.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Aldershot Town 1.2 xG, Harrogate Town 1.9 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 61% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Aldershot Town 23%, draw 22%, Harrogate Town 55%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.53.
  • Price worth noting: Harrogate Town to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (63%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aldershot Town 1–1 Harrogate Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Aldershot Town23%fair 4.41 · @3.20
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.65
Harrogate Town55%fair 1.82 · @1.95
3.08Expected goals
1.16Aldershot Town xG
1.92Harrogate Town xG
61%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
1–210%
0–19%
0–28%
1–36%
2–16%

From our goals model: Aldershot Town 1.2 – 1.9 Harrogate Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHarrogate Town to win ✗55%1.821.95 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.291.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.641.53
Draw no betHarrogate Town (draw no bet) ✗71%1.41–
Asian handicapAldershot Town +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.251.18
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓59%1.711.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗63%1.591.48
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
First team to scoreHarrogate Town to score first ✗60%1.68–
Half-time resultHarrogate Town ahead at half-time ✗41%2.44–
Half-time / full-timeHT Harrogate Town / FT Harrogate Town ✗35%2.90–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.18–

Recent results

Aldershot Town – last 6

DDLWWW
22 Aug@ Kidderminster Harriers1–1D
18 Augvs Fulham U212–2D
15 Augvs Hartlepool0–1L
8 Aug@ Boston United1–0W
1 Aug@ Braintree2–1W
25 Jul@ Hanwell Town2–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Harrogate Town – last 6

DWWWDW
22 Augvs Barrow2–2D
15 Aug@ Wealdstone3–1W
8 Augvs Solihull Moors5–2W
1 Augvs Scarborough Athletic2–1W
25 Julvs Doncaster2–2D
21 Jul@ South Shields2–1W
2.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Aldershot Town and Harrogate Town.

Aldershot Town vs Harrogate Town head-to-head page →

National League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Boreham Wood161420+2744
2Harrogate Town161024+1132
3Southend16853+1129
4AFC Fylde16925+629
5Yeovil Town16844+1528
6Worthing16844+728
7Altrincham16916028
8Carlisle16754+926
9Barrow15744+725
10FC Halifax Town16736+824
11Sutton Utd16736-124
12Woking16637+121
13Kidderminster Harriers16565+121
14Aldershot Town16637021
15AFC Hornchurch16709-821
16Forest Green14545-119
17Eastleigh16547-619
18Wealdstone16538-618
19Boston United16538-818
20Tamworth15528-717
21Hartlepool165011-915
22Solihull Moors164111-2113
23Scunthorpe153111-1110
24Gateshead151113-254

More National League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Aldershot Town vs Harrogate Town?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.

Who will win Aldershot Town vs Harrogate Town?

On our numbers Aldershot Town have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Harrogate Town 55%.

How many goals will there be in Aldershot Town vs Harrogate Town?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Aldershot Town vs Harrogate Town?

Our predicted score is Aldershot Town 1–1 Harrogate Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Aldershot Town vs Harrogate Town?

Aldershot Town vs Harrogate Town (National League) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at EBB Stadium at Recreation Ground.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.