Value bet: Sutton Utd to win @ 2.38 – our chance 45% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSutton Utd to win ✓45% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.15
Gateshead vs Sutton Utd: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:45 WAT, Friday 28 August: Gateshead v Sutton Utd in the National League, played at Gateshead International Stadium. In the table, Gateshead are 24th, in the drop zone, on 4 points after 15 matches; Sutton Utd are 11th (upper half) with 24. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Gateshead, last 5: LDWLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Yeovil Town, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Sutton Utd, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Hartlepool, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Sutton Utd, collecting 2.7 points per game to 0.7 for Gateshead.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gateshead 1.2 xG, Sutton Utd 1.5 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gateshead 33%, draw 22%, Sutton Utd 45%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.55.
Price worth noting: Sutton Utd to win @2.38 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 45%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gateshead 1–1 Sutton Utd. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gateshead33%fair 3.01 · @2.62
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.35
Sutton Utd45%fair 2.21 · @2.38
2.68Expected goals
1.21Gateshead xG
1.47Sutton Utd xG
62%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
0–27%
2–17%
From our goals model: Gateshead 1.2 – 1.5 Sutton Utd expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sutton Utd to win✓
45%
2.21
2.38 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.61
1.55
Draw no bet
Sutton Utd (draw no bet)✓
58%
1.73
–
Asian handicap
Gateshead +1 (Asian handicap)
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.16
–
First team to score
Sutton Utd to score first✓
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sutton Utd / FT Sutton Utd✗
25%
3.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.15
–
Recent results
Gateshead – last 6
LDWLLL
22 Aug
@ Yeovil Town
0–3
L
18 Aug
vs Nottingham Forest U21
1–1
D
15 Aug
vs Woking
2–0
W
8 Aug
@ Eastleigh
1–2
L
1 Aug
@ Spennymoor Town
1–2
L
28 Jul
vs South Shields
1–4
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Sutton Utd – last 6
WDWWWW
22 Aug
vs Hartlepool
2–1
W
18 Aug
vs Leicester City U21
0–0
D
15 Aug
vs Altrincham
1–0
W
8 Aug
@ Woking
3–0
W
1 Aug
vs Southampton U21
3–2
W
28 Jul
vs Folkestone Invicta
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gateshead and Sutton Utd.
What is the prediction for Gateshead vs Sutton Utd?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Gateshead vs Sutton Utd?
On our numbers Gateshead have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sutton Utd 45%.
How many goals will there be in Gateshead vs Sutton Utd?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gateshead vs Sutton Utd?
Our predicted score is Gateshead 1–1 Sutton Utd, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Gateshead vs Sutton Utd?
Gateshead vs Sutton Utd (National League) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Gateshead International Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
