Value bet: Barrow to win @ 1.83 – our chance 59% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBarrow to win ✗59% · @1.83
Double chanceBarrow or draw ✗80% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.38
Barrow vs Yeovil Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Yeovil Town travel to face Barrow on Friday 28 August in the National League, with Holker Street the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, Barrow are 9th, upper half, on 25 points after 15 matches; Yeovil Town are 5th (upper half) with 28. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Barrow, last 5: DLLWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Harrogate Town, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Yeovil Town, last 5: WDDLD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Gateshead, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Barrow 1.7 xG, Yeovil Town 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Barrow 59%, draw 21%, Yeovil Town 20%.
Lower-risk option: Barrow or draw (80%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Barrow to win @1.83 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Barrow 1–0 Yeovil Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Barrow59%fair 1.69 · @1.83
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.30
Yeovil Town20%fair 4.97 · @4.00
2.58Expected goals
1.72Barrow xG
0.86Yeovil Town xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Barrow 1.7 – 0.9 Yeovil Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barrow to win✗
59%
1.69
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Barrow or draw✗
80%
1.25
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.85
Draw no bet
Barrow (draw no bet)✗
75%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Yeovil Town +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.87
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Barrow to score first
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Barrow / FT Barrow✗
36%
2.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.38
–
Recent results
Barrow – last 6
DLLWWD
22 Aug
@ Harrogate Town
2–2
D
15 Aug
vs AFC Hornchurch
1–2
L
8 Aug
@ Hartlepool
0–2
L
1 Aug
@ Morecambe
1–0
W
25 Jul
vs Blackpool
2–0
W
21 Jul
@ Radcliffe
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Yeovil Town – last 6
WDDLDL
22 Aug
vs Gateshead
3–0
W
15 Aug
vs Carlisle
1–1
D
8 Aug
@ Scunthorpe
1–1
D
1 Aug
vs Newport County
1–2
L
28 Jul
@ Farnham Town
1–1
D
25 Jul
@ Wycombe
2–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barrow and Yeovil Town.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Barrow vs Yeovil Town?
On our numbers Barrow have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Yeovil Town 20%.
How many goals will there be in Barrow vs Yeovil Town?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barrow vs Yeovil Town?
Our predicted score is Barrow 1–0 Yeovil Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Barrow vs Yeovil Town?
Barrow vs Yeovil Town (National League) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Holker Street.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
