Value bet: Hartlepool to win @ 1.73 – our chance 63% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultHartlepool to win ✗63% · @1.73
Double chanceHartlepool or draw ✗85% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.42
Hartlepool vs Eastleigh: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 28 August the National League brings Hartlepool against Eastleigh at Victoria Park. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT. In the table, Hartlepool are 21st, lower half, on 15 points after 16 matches; Eastleigh are 17th (lower half) with 19.
Current form
Hartlepool, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Sutton Utd, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Eastleigh, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Scunthorpe, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Hartlepool, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Eastleigh.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hartlepool 1.9 xG, Eastleigh 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hartlepool 63%, draw 23%, Eastleigh 15%.
Lower-risk option: Hartlepool or draw (85%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Hartlepool to win @1.73 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hartlepool 2–0 Eastleigh. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hartlepool63%fair 1.60 · @1.73
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.45
Eastleigh15%fair 6.83 · @4.20
2.62Expected goals
1.85Hartlepool xG
0.77Eastleigh xG
55%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Hartlepool 1.9 – 0.8 Eastleigh expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hartlepool to win✗
63%
1.60
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Hartlepool or draw✗
85%
1.17
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.70
Draw no bet
Hartlepool (draw no bet)✗
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Hartlepool -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
–
First team to score
Hartlepool to score first✗
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Hartlepool ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hartlepool / FT Hartlepool✗
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.42
–
Recent results
Hartlepool – last 6
LWLWWL
22 Aug
@ Sutton Utd
1–2
L
15 Aug
@ Aldershot Town
1–0
W
11 Aug
vs Middlesbrough U21
0–10
L
8 Aug
vs Barrow
2–0
W
1 Aug
vs Fleetwood Town
1–0
W
25 Jul
vs Grimsby
0–3
L
0.8Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Eastleigh – last 6
WLWLLL
22 Aug
vs Scunthorpe
3–2
W
15 Aug
@ Kidderminster Harriers
0–1
L
8 Aug
vs Gateshead
2–1
W
1 Aug
@ Farnham Town
0–1
L
25 Jul
vs Crawley Town
0–1
L
22 Jul
vs Valenciennes
0–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hartlepool and Eastleigh.
What is the prediction for Hartlepool vs Eastleigh?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Hartlepool vs Eastleigh?
On our numbers Hartlepool have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Eastleigh 15%.
How many goals will there be in Hartlepool vs Eastleigh?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hartlepool vs Eastleigh?
Our predicted score is Hartlepool 2–0 Eastleigh, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Hartlepool vs Eastleigh?
Hartlepool vs Eastleigh (National League) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Victoria Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
