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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Altrincham v AFC Hornchurch: numbers & prediction

National League · England · Moss Lane
3–0
FT
Altrincham 47%Draw 21%AFC Hornchurch 32% Expected goals 1.59 – 1.24
77%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultAltrincham to win ✓47% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.82

Altrincham vs AFC Hornchurch: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Altrincham welcome AFC Hornchurch to Moss Lane for a National League fixture on Saturday 26 September (15:00 WAT). In the table, Altrincham are 7th, upper half, on 28 points after 16 matches; AFC Hornchurch are 15th (lower half) with 21.

Current form

Altrincham, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over AFC Fylde, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

AFC Hornchurch, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Scunthorpe, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Altrincham, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.5 for AFC Hornchurch.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Altrincham 1.6 xG, AFC Hornchurch 1.2 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Altrincham 47%, draw 21%, AFC Hornchurch 32%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Altrincham 1–1 AFC Hornchurch. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Altrincham47%fair 2.11 · @2.05
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.50
AFC Hornchurch32%fair 3.15 · @3.00
2.82Expected goals
1.59Altrincham xG
1.24AFC Hornchurch xG
58%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
2–07%
0–17%
1–27%

From our goals model: Altrincham 1.6 – 1.2 AFC Hornchurch expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAltrincham to win ✓47%2.112.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗58%1.711.62
Draw no betAltrincham (draw no bet) ✓60%1.67–
Asian handicapAFC Hornchurch +1 (Asian handicap) ✗70%1.43–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.301.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓54%1.851.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓67%1.481.40
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.201.14
First team to scoreAltrincham to score first ✓53%1.89–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.44–
Half-time / full-timeHT Altrincham / FT Altrincham ✓27%3.68–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.82–

Recent results

Altrincham – last 6

WWLWWW
19 Sep@ AFC Fylde2–1W
16 Sepvs Hartlepool2–1W
12 Sep@ Woking1–5L
4 Sepvs Eastleigh2–1W
31 Aug@ Forest Green2–1W
28 Augvs FC Halifax Town2–1W
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

AFC Hornchurch – last 6

WLLWLW
19 Sepvs Scunthorpe1–0W
15 Sep@ Worthing0–1L
12 Sep@ FC Halifax Town0–3L
8 Sepvs Ipswich Town U213–0W
5 Sepvs Forest Green0–1L
31 Aug@ Boston United3–2W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Altrincham and AFC Hornchurch.

Altrincham vs AFC Hornchurch head-to-head page →

National League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Boreham Wood161420+2744
2Harrogate Town161024+1132
3Southend16853+1129
4AFC Fylde16925+629
5Yeovil Town16844+1528
6Worthing16844+728
7Altrincham16916028
8Carlisle16754+926
9Barrow15744+725
10FC Halifax Town16736+824
11Sutton Utd16736-124
12Woking16637+121
13Kidderminster Harriers16565+121
14Aldershot Town16637021
15AFC Hornchurch16709-821
16Forest Green14545-119
17Eastleigh16547-619
18Wealdstone16538-618
19Boston United16538-818
20Tamworth15528-717
21Hartlepool165011-915
22Solihull Moors164111-2113
23Scunthorpe153111-1110
24Gateshead151113-254

More National League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Altrincham vs AFC Hornchurch?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Altrincham vs AFC Hornchurch?

On our numbers Altrincham have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 21% and AFC Hornchurch 32%.

How many goals will there be in Altrincham vs AFC Hornchurch?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Altrincham vs AFC Hornchurch?

Our predicted score is Altrincham 1–1 AFC Hornchurch, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Altrincham vs AFC Hornchurch?

Altrincham vs AFC Hornchurch (National League) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Moss Lane.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.