Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultSouthend to win ✗62% · @1.65
Double chanceSouthend or draw ✗85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.08
Southend vs Barrow: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Barrow travel to face Southend on Saturday 26 September in the National League, with Roots Hall the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Southend are 3rd, among the top four, on 29 points after 16 matches; Barrow are 9th (upper half) with 25.
Current form
Southend, last 5: WWDWD Their latest outing: 6–1 win over Gateshead, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Barrow, last 5: WLDWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Aldershot Town, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Southend, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Barrow.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Southend 2.1 xG, Barrow 1.0 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Southend 62%, draw 23%, Barrow 15%.
Lower-risk option: Southend or draw (85%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (62%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Southend 2–0 Barrow. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Southend62%fair 1.62 · @1.65
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.80
Barrow15%fair 6.69 · @4.33
3.12Expected goals
2.13Southend xG
0.99Barrow xG
61%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Southend 2.1 – 1.0 Barrow expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Southend to win✗
62%
1.62
1.65
Double chance
Southend or draw✗
85%
1.18
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
1.62
Draw no bet
Southend (draw no bet)✗
80%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Southend -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
1.20
First team to score
Southend to score first
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Southend ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Southend / FT Southend✗
41%
2.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.08
–
Recent results
Southend – last 6
WWDWDL
19 Sep
@ Gateshead
6–1
W
15 Sep
vs Tamworth
3–1
W
12 Sep
@ Carlisle
2–2
D
5 Sep
vs Yeovil Town
3–2
W
31 Aug
@ Woking
1–1
D
28 Aug
vs Kidderminster Harriers
1–3
L
2.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Barrow – last 6
WLDWDL
19 Sep
vs Aldershot Town
1–0
W
15 Sep
@ Solihull Moors
0–1
L
12 Sep
@ Worthing
2–2
D
5 Sep
vs Sutton Utd
3–0
W
31 Aug
@ Kidderminster Harriers
1–1
D
28 Aug
vs Yeovil Town
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Southend and Barrow.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Southend vs Barrow?
On our numbers Southend have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Barrow 15%.
How many goals will there be in Southend vs Barrow?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Southend vs Barrow?
Our predicted score is Southend 2–0 Barrow, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Southend vs Barrow?
Southend vs Barrow (National League) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Roots Hall.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
