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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Harrogate Town v Eastleigh: numbers & prediction

National League · England · Exercise Stadium
4–1
FT
Harrogate Town 62%Draw 23%Eastleigh 15% Expected goals 2.10 – 0.95
80%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultHarrogate Town to win ✓62% · @1.62
Double chanceHarrogate Town or draw ✓85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.08

Harrogate Town vs Eastleigh: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Saturday 26 September: Harrogate Town v Eastleigh in the National League, played at Exercise Stadium. In the table, Harrogate Town are 2nd, among the top four, on 32 points after 16 matches; Eastleigh are 17th (lower half) with 19. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Harrogate Town, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Boreham Wood, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Eastleigh, last 5: WLDLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Carlisle, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Harrogate Town 2.1 xG, Eastleigh 1.0 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 57% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Harrogate Town 62%, draw 23%, Eastleigh 15%.
  • Lower-risk option: Harrogate Town or draw (85%) at 1.18.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Harrogate Town 2–0 Eastleigh. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Harrogate Town62%fair 1.60 · @1.62
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.90
Eastleigh15%fair 6.76 · @4.75
3.05Expected goals
2.10Harrogate Town xG
0.95Eastleigh xG
57%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–010%
2–110%
1–010%
1–19%
3–07%
3–17%

From our goals model: Harrogate Town 2.1 – 1.0 Eastleigh expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHarrogate Town to win ✓62%1.601.62
Double chanceHarrogate Town or draw ✓85%1.171.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.771.70
Draw no betHarrogate Town (draw no bet) ✓81%1.24–
Asian handicapHarrogate Town -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.261.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓58%1.741.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗64%1.561.44
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗81%1.241.17
First team to scoreHarrogate Town to score first66%1.53–
Half-time resultHarrogate Town ahead at half-time ✓47%2.15–
Half-time / full-timeHT Harrogate Town / FT Harrogate Town ✓41%2.43–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.08–

Recent results

Harrogate Town – last 6

LLWWWL
19 Sep@ Boreham Wood1–4L
15 Sepvs AFC Fylde1–2L
12 Sepvs Tamworth3–1W
5 Sep@ Scunthorpe2–0W
31 Augvs Gateshead2–1W
28 Aug@ Aldershot Town1–3L
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Eastleigh – last 6

WLDLDW
19 Sepvs Carlisle1–0W
15 Sep@ Sutton Utd1–2L
12 Sepvs Boreham Wood1–1D
4 Sep@ Altrincham1–2L
31 Augvs Aldershot Town1–1D
28 Aug@ Hartlepool1–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Harrogate Town and Eastleigh.

Harrogate Town vs Eastleigh head-to-head page →

National League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Boreham Wood161420+2744
2Harrogate Town161024+1132
3Southend16853+1129
4AFC Fylde16925+629
5Yeovil Town16844+1528
6Worthing16844+728
7Altrincham16916028
8Carlisle16754+926
9Barrow15744+725
10FC Halifax Town16736+824
11Sutton Utd16736-124
12Woking16637+121
13Kidderminster Harriers16565+121
14Aldershot Town16637021
15AFC Hornchurch16709-821
16Forest Green14545-119
17Eastleigh16547-619
18Wealdstone16538-618
19Boston United16538-818
20Tamworth15528-717
21Hartlepool165011-915
22Solihull Moors164111-2113
23Scunthorpe153111-1110
24Gateshead151113-254

More National League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Harrogate Town vs Eastleigh?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Harrogate Town vs Eastleigh?

On our numbers Harrogate Town have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Eastleigh 15%.

How many goals will there be in Harrogate Town vs Eastleigh?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Harrogate Town vs Eastleigh?

Our predicted score is Harrogate Town 2–0 Eastleigh, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Harrogate Town vs Eastleigh?

Harrogate Town vs Eastleigh (National League) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Exercise Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.