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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Scunthorpe v Hartlepool: numbers & prediction

National League · England · Attis Arena

Scunthorpe

LLWWL
4–1
FT

Hartlepool

LLLLW
Scunthorpe 46%Draw 21%Hartlepool 33% Expected goals 1.47 – 1.19
76%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultScunthorpe to win ✓46% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.11

Scunthorpe vs Hartlepool: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Hartlepool travel to face Scunthorpe on Saturday 26 September in the National League, with Attis Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Scunthorpe are 23rd, in the drop zone, on 10 points after 15 matches; Hartlepool are 21st (lower half) with 15.

Current form

Scunthorpe, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to AFC Hornchurch, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Hartlepool, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Worthing, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Momentum favours Scunthorpe, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.5 for Hartlepool.

Head to head

When they last met (3 Apr 2026) it ended Scunthorpe 0–0 Hartlepool.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Scunthorpe 1.5 xG, Hartlepool 1.2 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 61%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Scunthorpe 46%, draw 21%, Hartlepool 33%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Scunthorpe 1–1 Hartlepool. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Scunthorpe46%fair 2.17 · @2.05
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.60
Hartlepool33%fair 3.02 · @3.10
2.67Expected goals
1.47Scunthorpe xG
1.19Hartlepool xG
61%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
1–27%

From our goals model: Scunthorpe 1.5 – 1.2 Hartlepool expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultScunthorpe to win ✓46%2.172.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.261.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.641.62
Draw no betScunthorpe (draw no bet) ✓58%1.72–
Asian handicapHartlepool +1 (Asian handicap) ✗73%1.38–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.311.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓53%1.901.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗68%1.461.44
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗84%1.191.17
First team to scoreScunthorpe to score first51%1.95–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.36–
Half-time / full-timeHT Scunthorpe / FT Scunthorpe ✓26%3.88–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.11–

Recent results

Scunthorpe – last 6

LLWWLL
19 Sep@ AFC Hornchurch0–1L
16 Sepvs Boreham Wood1–2L
12 Sep@ Sutton Utd2–0W
8 Sepvs Nottingham Forest U212–1W
5 Sepvs Harrogate Town0–2L
31 Aug@ Carlisle2–4L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Hartlepool – last 6

LLLLWL
19 Sepvs Worthing1–3L
16 Sep@ Altrincham1–2L
11 Sep@ Kidderminster Harriers0–2L
8 Sepvs Everton U210–1L
5 Sepvs Woking1–0W
1 Sep@ FC Halifax Town0–1L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 Apr 2026Scunthorpe v Hartlepool0–0
Scunthorpe vs Hartlepool head-to-head page →

National League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Boreham Wood161420+2744
2Harrogate Town161024+1132
3Southend16853+1129
4AFC Fylde16925+629
5Yeovil Town16844+1528
6Worthing16844+728
7Altrincham16916028
8Carlisle16754+926
9Barrow15744+725
10FC Halifax Town16736+824
11Sutton Utd16736-124
12Woking16637+121
13Kidderminster Harriers16565+121
14Aldershot Town16637021
15AFC Hornchurch16709-821
16Forest Green14545-119
17Eastleigh16547-619
18Wealdstone16538-618
19Boston United16538-818
20Tamworth15528-717
21Hartlepool165011-915
22Solihull Moors164111-2113
23Scunthorpe153111-1110
24Gateshead151113-254

More National League predictions

League hub
FT Aldershot Town5 Tamworth1 141%2.40X21%3.60238%2.50 1.6–1.5xG GGBoth teams to score 66%@1.50 ✓
FT Altrincham3 AFC Hornchurch0 147%2.05X21%3.50232%3.00 1.6–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✓
FT Boston United0 AFC Fylde1 134%2.45X20%3.75246%2.38 1.5–1.8xG GGBoth teams to score 68%@1.44 ✗
FT Carlisle2 Woking5 167%1.62X20%4.00213%4.50 2.1–0.8xG 1Carlisle to win 67%@1.62 ✗
FT Harrogate Town4 Eastleigh1 162%1.62X23%3.90215%4.75 2.1–1.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 80%@1.20 ✓
FT Kidderminster Harriers0 Yeovil Town1 158%1.95X23%3.40219%3.50 1.8–1.0xG 1XKidderminster Harriers or draw 81%@1.28 ✗
FT Solihull Moors0 Boreham Wood3 116%4.75X21%4.33262%1.50 1.2–2.4xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 70%@1.36 ✓
FT Southend2 Barrow4 162%1.65X23%3.80215%4.33 2.1–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 62%@1.50 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Scunthorpe vs Hartlepool?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Scunthorpe vs Hartlepool?

On our numbers Scunthorpe have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Hartlepool 33%.

How many goals will there be in Scunthorpe vs Hartlepool?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Scunthorpe vs Hartlepool?

Our predicted score is Scunthorpe 1–1 Hartlepool, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Scunthorpe vs Hartlepool?

Scunthorpe vs Hartlepool (National League) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Attis Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.