Aldershot Town 20%Draw 16%Carlisle 63%Expected goals 0.97 – 1.98
63%
Betarazi pick
Carlisle to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.85Odds
Picks by market
ResultCarlisle to win ✓63% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.05
Aldershot Town vs Carlisle: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 3 October the National League brings Aldershot Town against Carlisle at EBB Stadium at Recreation Ground. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Aldershot Town are 14th, lower half, on 21 points after 16 matches; Carlisle are 8th (upper half) with 26.
Current form
Aldershot Town, last 5: LWLDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to AFC Hornchurch, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Carlisle, last 5: WLLDD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over AFC Fylde, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (10 Mar 2026) it ended Aldershot Town 0–2 Carlisle.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Aldershot Town 1.0 xG, Carlisle 2.0 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Aldershot Town 20%, draw 16%, Carlisle 63%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Carlisle to win (63%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.58, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aldershot Town 0–1 Carlisle. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Aldershot Town20%fair 4.92 · @3.40
Draw16%fair 6.14 · @3.80
Carlisle63%fair 1.58 · @1.85
2.95Expected goals
0.97Aldershot Town xG
1.98Carlisle xG
61%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–110%
0–210%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
1–37%
From our goals model: Aldershot Town 1.0 – 2.0 Carlisle expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Aldershot Town vs Carlisle?
Our pick is Carlisle to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Aldershot Town vs Carlisle?
On our numbers Aldershot Town have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Carlisle 63%.
How many goals will there be in Aldershot Town vs Carlisle?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aldershot Town vs Carlisle?
Our predicted score is Aldershot Town 0–1 Carlisle, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Aldershot Town vs Carlisle?
Aldershot Town vs Carlisle (National League) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at EBB Stadium at Recreation Ground.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
