Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultHartlepool to win ✗43% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗67% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.47
Hartlepool vs Tamworth: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 3 October: Hartlepool v Tamworth in the National League, played at Victoria Park. In the table, Hartlepool are 21st, lower half, on 15 points after 16 matches; Tamworth are 20th (lower half) with 17. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Hartlepool, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Harrogate Town, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Tamworth, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Sutton Utd, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Tamworth, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.0 for Hartlepool.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hartlepool 1.7 xG, Tamworth 1.5 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hartlepool 43%, draw 21%, Tamworth 36%.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (67%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hartlepool 1–1 Tamworth. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hartlepool43%fair 2.33 · @2.20
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @3.50
Tamworth36%fair 2.77 · @2.80
3.23Expected goals
1.69Hartlepool xG
1.54Tamworth xG
67%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: Hartlepool 1.7 – 1.5 Tamworth expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hartlepool to win✗
43%
2.33
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
67%
1.49
1.50
Draw no bet
Hartlepool (draw no bet)✗
54%
1.84
–
Asian handicap
Tamworth +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
–
First team to score
Hartlepool to score first✗
50%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.64
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hartlepool / FT Hartlepool✗
25%
3.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.47
–
Recent results
Hartlepool – last 6
LLLLLL
29 Sep
vs Harrogate Town
0–1
L
26 Sep
@ Scunthorpe
1–4
L
19 Sep
vs Worthing
1–3
L
16 Sep
@ Altrincham
1–2
L
11 Sep
@ Kidderminster Harriers
0–2
L
8 Sep
vs Everton U21
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Tamworth – last 6
WLWLLL
30 Sep
vs Sutton Utd
2–0
W
26 Sep
@ Aldershot Town
1–5
L
19 Sep
vs Wealdstone
2–1
W
15 Sep
@ Southend
1–3
L
12 Sep
@ Harrogate Town
1–3
L
9 Sep
vs Middlesbrough U21
1–3
L
1.3Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hartlepool and Tamworth.
What is the prediction for Hartlepool vs Tamworth?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Hartlepool vs Tamworth?
On our numbers Hartlepool have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Tamworth 36%.
How many goals will there be in Hartlepool vs Tamworth?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hartlepool vs Tamworth?
Our predicted score is Hartlepool 1–1 Tamworth, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Hartlepool vs Tamworth?
Hartlepool vs Tamworth (National League) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Victoria Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
