Harrogate Town 61%Draw 21%AFC Hornchurch 18%Expected goals 2.14 – 1.09
60%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Picks by market
ResultHarrogate Town to win ✓61% · @1.53
Double chanceHarrogate Town or draw ✓82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.13
Harrogate Town vs AFC Hornchurch: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 3 October the National League brings Harrogate Town against AFC Hornchurch at Exercise Stadium. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Harrogate Town are 2nd, among the top four, on 32 points after 16 matches; AFC Hornchurch are 15th (lower half) with 21.
Current form
Harrogate Town, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Hartlepool, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
AFC Hornchurch, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Aldershot Town, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Harrogate Town, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for AFC Hornchurch.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Harrogate Town 2.1 xG, AFC Hornchurch 1.1 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 60% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Harrogate Town 61%, draw 21%, AFC Hornchurch 18%.
Lower-risk option: Harrogate Town or draw (82%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (60%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Harrogate Town 2–1 AFC Hornchurch. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Harrogate Town61%fair 1.64 · @1.53
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @4.20
AFC Hornchurch18%fair 5.60 · @4.80
3.23Expected goals
2.14Harrogate Town xG
1.09AFC Hornchurch xG
60%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Harrogate Town 2.1 – 1.1 AFC Hornchurch expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Harrogate Town to win✓
61%
1.64
1.53
Double chance
Harrogate Town or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.66
1.67
Draw no bet
Harrogate Town (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Harrogate Town -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
–
First team to score
Harrogate Town to score first✓
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Harrogate Town ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Harrogate Town / FT Harrogate Town✓
40%
2.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.13
–
Recent results
Harrogate Town – last 6
WWLLWW
29 Sep
@ Hartlepool
1–0
W
26 Sep
vs Eastleigh
4–1
W
19 Sep
@ Boreham Wood
1–4
L
15 Sep
vs AFC Fylde
1–2
L
12 Sep
vs Tamworth
3–1
W
5 Sep
@ Scunthorpe
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
AFC Hornchurch – last 6
WLWLLW
29 Sep
vs Aldershot Town
2–1
W
26 Sep
@ Altrincham
0–3
L
19 Sep
vs Scunthorpe
1–0
W
15 Sep
@ Worthing
0–1
L
12 Sep
@ FC Halifax Town
0–3
L
8 Sep
vs Ipswich Town U21
3–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Harrogate Town and AFC Hornchurch.
What is the prediction for Harrogate Town vs AFC Hornchurch?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Harrogate Town vs AFC Hornchurch?
On our numbers Harrogate Town have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and AFC Hornchurch 18%.
How many goals will there be in Harrogate Town vs AFC Hornchurch?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Harrogate Town vs AFC Hornchurch?
Our predicted score is Harrogate Town 2–1 AFC Hornchurch, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Harrogate Town vs AFC Hornchurch?
Harrogate Town vs AFC Hornchurch (National League) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Exercise Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
