Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Barrow to win @ 1.75 – our chance 61% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBarrow to win ✓61% · @1.75
Double chanceBarrow or draw ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.06
Barrow vs Wealdstone: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Wealdstone travel to face Barrow on Saturday 3 October in the National League, with Holker Street the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Barrow are 9th, upper half, on 25 points after 15 matches; Wealdstone are 18th (lower half) with 18.
Current form
Barrow, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Scunthorpe, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Wealdstone, last 5: DWLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Forest Green, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Barrow 2.0 xG, Wealdstone 0.9 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 61% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Barrow 61%, draw 22%, Wealdstone 17%.
Lower-risk option: Barrow or draw (83%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Barrow to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Barrow or draw (83%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Barrow 1–0 Wealdstone. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Barrow61%fair 1.64 · @1.75
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.60
Wealdstone17%fair 5.75 · @4.00
2.91Expected goals
1.96Barrow xG
0.95Wealdstone xG
61%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
2–010%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Barrow 2.0 – 0.9 Wealdstone expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barrow to win✓
61%
1.64
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Barrow or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.62
Draw no bet
Barrow (draw no bet)✓
78%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Barrow -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
First team to score
Barrow to score first
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Barrow ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Barrow / FT Barrow✗
39%
2.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.06
–
Recent results
Barrow – last 6
WWWLDW
29 Sep
vs Scunthorpe
3–0
W
26 Sep
@ Southend
4–2
W
19 Sep
vs Aldershot Town
1–0
W
15 Sep
@ Solihull Moors
0–1
L
12 Sep
@ Worthing
2–2
D
5 Sep
vs Sutton Utd
3–0
W
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Wealdstone – last 6
DWLLWW
29 Sep
@ Forest Green
1–1
D
26 Sep
vs Gateshead
4–0
W
19 Sep
@ Tamworth
1–2
L
15 Sep
vs FC Halifax Town
0–1
L
12 Sep
@ Boston United
3–1
W
8 Sep
vs Stoke City U21
6–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barrow and Wealdstone.
Our pick is Barrow or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Barrow vs Wealdstone?
On our numbers Barrow have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Wealdstone 17%.
How many goals will there be in Barrow vs Wealdstone?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barrow vs Wealdstone?
Our predicted score is Barrow 1–0 Wealdstone, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Barrow vs Wealdstone?
Barrow vs Wealdstone (National League) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Holker Street.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
