Bursaspor v Esenler Erokspor Prediction & Expected Goals (13 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultBursaspor to win ✗63% · @1.75

Double chanceBursaspor or draw ✓85% · @1.22

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @1.73

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.48

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.98

Bursaspor vs Esenler Erokspor: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

18:00 WAT, Sunday 13 September: Bursaspor v Esenler Erokspor in the 1. Lig, played at Timsah Park. In the table, Bursaspor are 1st, leading the league, on 32 points after 14 matches; Esenler Erokspor are 10th (upper half) with 18. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Bursaspor, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Manisa F.K., away. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Esenler Erokspor, last 5: LDLDD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Kayserispor, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Momentum favours Bursaspor, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.7 for Esenler Erokspor.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bursaspor 1.5 xG, Esenler Erokspor 0.5 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Bursaspor 63%, draw 22%, Esenler Erokspor 15%.
Lower-risk option: Bursaspor or draw (85%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Bursaspor to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 63%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Bursaspor or draw (85%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.18, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bursaspor 1–0 Esenler Erokspor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bursaspor63%fair 1.59 · @1.75

Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.70

Esenler Erokspor15%fair 6.71 · @3.90

2.00Expected goals

1.48Bursaspor xG

0.52Esenler Erokspor xG

50%Both score

32%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–020%

2–015%

0–014%

1–110%

2–18%

3–07%

From our goals model: Bursaspor 1.5 – 0.5 Esenler Erokspor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Bursaspor to win ✗	63%	1.59	1.75 ▲
Double chance	Bursaspor or draw ✓	85%	1.18	1.22
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	50%	1.99	1.73
Draw no bet	Bursaspor (draw no bet)	81%	1.24	–
Asian handicap	Bursaspor -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	61%	1.64	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	59%	1.68	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	68%	1.48	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	86%	1.17	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	95%	1.06	–
First team to score	Bursaspor to score first	64%	1.56	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	48%	2.09	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Bursaspor / FT Bursaspor ✗	37%	2.71	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	8%	12.98	–

Bursaspor – last 6

WWWLWW

7 Sep	@ Manisa F.K.	2–1	W
3 Sep	vs İstanbulspor	4–0	W
29 Aug	@ Kayserispor	2–1	W
21 Aug	@ Fatih Karagümrük	1–2	L
15 Aug	vs Iğdır FK	1–0	W
9 Aug	@ Bodrum FK	2–0	W

2.0Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

50%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Esenler Erokspor – last 6

LDLDDD

7 Sep	vs Kayserispor	0–3	L
3 Sep	@ Bodrum FK	0–0	D
30 Aug	vs Iğdır FK	0–1	L
22 Aug	@ Ümraniyespor	1–1	D
14 Aug	vs Sarıyer	1–1	D
8 Aug	@ Sivasspor	0–0	D

0.3Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

33%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bursaspor	14	10	2	2	+18	32
2	Kayserispor	14	9	3	2	+22	30
3	Iğdır FK	14	8	4	2	+8	28
4	Mardin 1969	14	7	4	3	+6	25
5	Batman Petrolspor	14	7	3	4	+3	24
6	Keçiörengücü	14	6	5	3	+8	23
7	Bodrum FK	14	5	6	3	+5	21
8	Antalyaspor	14	6	2	6	-1	20
9	Fatih Karagümrük	14	5	4	5	+4	19
10	Esenler Erokspor	14	4	6	4	+2	18
11	Muğlaspor	14	4	6	4	-7	18
12	Ümraniyespor	13	4	5	4	+4	17
13	Sarıyer	14	4	5	5	-4	17
14	Vanspor FK	14	5	3	6	-6	16
15	Bandırmaspor	14	3	5	6	0	14
16	Pendikspor	14	3	5	6	-10	14
17	Manisa F.K.	14	3	4	7	-3	13
18	Sivasspor	14	2	7	5	-6	13
19	İstanbulspor	14	2	2	10	-21	8
20	Boluspor	13	1	1	11	-22	4

Team

Pts

+18

+22

-1

-7

-4

-6

-10

-3

-6

-21

-22

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bursaspor vs Esenler Erokspor?

Our pick is Bursaspor or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Bursaspor vs Esenler Erokspor?

On our numbers Bursaspor have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Esenler Erokspor 15%.

How many goals will there be in Bursaspor vs Esenler Erokspor?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bursaspor vs Esenler Erokspor?

Our predicted score is Bursaspor 1–0 Esenler Erokspor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Bursaspor vs Esenler Erokspor?

Bursaspor vs Esenler Erokspor (1. Lig) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Timsah Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Bursaspor v Esenler Erokspor: numbers & prediction