Value bet: Mardin 1969 to win @ 2.90 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMardin 1969 to win ✗38% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 13.69
Iğdır FK vs Mardin 1969: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 13 September the 1. Lig brings Iğdır FK against Mardin 1969. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Iğdır FK are 3rd, among the top four, on 28 points after 14 matches; Mardin 1969 are 4th (among the top four) with 25. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Iğdır FK, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over İstanbulspor, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Mardin 1969, last 5: WDDWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Bodrum FK, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Iğdır FK 1.1 xG, Mardin 1969 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Iğdır FK 38%, draw 23%, Mardin 1969 38%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Mardin 1969 to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Iğdır FK 1–1 Mardin 1969. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Iğdır FK38%fair 2.61 · @2.38
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.10
Mardin 196938%fair 2.60 · @2.90
2.17Expected goals
1.08Iğdır FK xG
1.09Mardin 1969 xG
57%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–012%
0–011%
1–27%
2–17%
From our goals model: Iğdır FK 1.1 – 1.1 Mardin 1969 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mardin 1969 to win✗
38%
2.60
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
1.73
Draw no bet
Mardin 1969 (draw no bet)✗
50%
2.00
–
Asian handicap
Iğdır FK +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Mardin 1969 to score first✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
20%
5.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
13.69
–
Recent results
Iğdır FK – last 6
WWWLLW
7 Sep
@ İstanbulspor
2–1
W
3 Sep
vs Manisa F.K.
4–2
W
30 Aug
@ Esenler Erokspor
1–0
W
22 Aug
vs Kayserispor
0–1
L
15 Aug
@ Bursaspor
0–1
L
9 Aug
vs Fatih Karagümrük
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Mardin 1969 – last 6
WDDWWD
7 Sep
vs Bodrum FK
1–0
W
2 Sep
@ Sivasspor
2–2
D
29 Aug
vs Vanspor FK
1–1
D
23 Aug
@ Boluspor
3–0
W
16 Aug
vs Antalyaspor
2–0
W
8 Aug
@ Ümraniyespor
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Iğdır FK and Mardin 1969.
What is the prediction for Iğdır FK vs Mardin 1969?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Iğdır FK vs Mardin 1969?
On our numbers Iğdır FK have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Mardin 1969 38%.
How many goals will there be in Iğdır FK vs Mardin 1969?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Iğdır FK vs Mardin 1969?
Our predicted score is Iğdır FK 1–1 Mardin 1969, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Iğdır FK vs Mardin 1969?
Iğdır FK vs Mardin 1969 (1. Lig) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
