Fatih Karagümrük 60%Draw 23%Manisa F.K. 17%Expected goals 2.19 – 1.14
83%
Betarazi pick
Fatih Karagümrük or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Fatih Karagümrük to win @ 1.91 – our chance 60% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFatih Karagümrük to win ✗60% · @1.91
Double chanceFatih Karagümrük or draw ✓83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.22
Fatih Karagümrük vs Manisa F.K.: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:00 WAT, Sunday 13 September: Fatih Karagümrük v Manisa F.K. in the 1. Lig, played at Yusuf Ziya Onis. In the table, Fatih Karagümrük are 9th, upper half, on 19 points after 14 matches; Manisa F.K. are 17th (lower half) with 13.
Current form
Fatih Karagümrük, last 5: LDDWW Their latest outing: 3–4 defeat to Batman Petrolspor, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Manisa F.K., last 5: LLDDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Bursaspor, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fatih Karagümrük 2.2 xG, Manisa F.K. 1.1 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 65% and GG at 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fatih Karagümrük 60%, draw 23%, Manisa F.K. 17%.
Lower-risk option: Fatih Karagümrük or draw (83%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Fatih Karagümrük to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Fatih Karagümrük or draw (83%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.21, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fatih Karagümrük 2–1 Manisa F.K.. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fatih Karagümrük60%fair 1.67 · @1.91
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.40
Manisa F.K.17%fair 5.73 · @3.60
3.33Expected goals
2.19Fatih Karagümrük xG
1.14Manisa F.K. xG
59%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Fatih Karagümrük 2.2 – 1.1 Manisa F.K. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fatih Karagümrük to win✗
60%
1.67
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Fatih Karagümrük or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.68
1.67
Draw no bet
Fatih Karagümrük (draw no bet)
77%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Fatih Karagümrük -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
First team to score
Fatih Karagümrük to score first✓
63%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Fatih Karagümrük ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fatih Karagümrük / FT Fatih Karagümrük✗
40%
2.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.22
–
Recent results
Fatih Karagümrük – last 6
LDDWWL
6 Sep
@ Batman Petrolspor
3–4
L
2 Sep
vs Kayserispor
1–1
D
29 Aug
@ İstanbulspor
1–1
D
21 Aug
vs Bursaspor
2–1
W
15 Aug
vs Ümraniyespor
2–1
W
9 Aug
@ Iğdır FK
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Manisa F.K. – last 6
LLDDWW
7 Sep
vs Bursaspor
1–2
L
3 Sep
@ Iğdır FK
2–4
L
30 Aug
vs Bodrum FK
0–0
D
24 Aug
@ Sivasspor
2–2
D
15 Aug
vs Vanspor FK
4–1
W
7 Aug
@ Boluspor
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fatih Karagümrük and Manisa F.K..
What is the prediction for Fatih Karagümrük vs Manisa F.K.?
Our pick is Fatih Karagümrük or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Fatih Karagümrük vs Manisa F.K.?
On our numbers Fatih Karagümrük have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Manisa F.K. 17%.
How many goals will there be in Fatih Karagümrük vs Manisa F.K.?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fatih Karagümrük vs Manisa F.K.?
Our predicted score is Fatih Karagümrük 2–1 Manisa F.K., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Fatih Karagümrük vs Manisa F.K.?
Fatih Karagümrük vs Manisa F.K. (1. Lig) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Yusuf Ziya Onis.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
