Value bet: Muğlaspor to win @ 3.50 – our chance 34% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSivasspor to win ✗43% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 13.24
Sivasspor vs Muğlaspor: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Muğlaspor travel to face Sivasspor on Sunday 13 September in the 1. Lig – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Sivasspor are 18th, in the drop zone, on 13 points after 14 matches; Muğlaspor are 11th (lower half) with 18.
Current form
Sivasspor, last 5: WDLDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Antalyaspor, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Muğlaspor, last 5: DWWDD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Vanspor FK, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Muğlaspor, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Sivasspor.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sivasspor 1.1 xG, Muğlaspor 1.0 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sivasspor 43%, draw 23%, Muğlaspor 34%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Muğlaspor to win @3.50 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sivasspor 1–1 Muğlaspor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sivasspor43%fair 2.32 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.25
Muğlaspor34%fair 2.91 · @3.50
2.08Expected goals
1.13Sivasspor xG
0.95Muğlaspor xG
54%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–112%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Sivasspor 1.1 – 1.0 Muğlaspor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sivasspor to win✗
43%
2.32
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.75
Draw no bet
Sivasspor (draw no bet)
56%
1.80
–
Asian handicap
Muğlaspor +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.63
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.53
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
First team to score
Sivasspor to score first
47%
2.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sivasspor / FT Sivasspor✗
22%
4.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
13.24
–
Recent results
Sivasspor – last 6
WDLDLD
6 Sep
@ Antalyaspor
2–1
W
2 Sep
vs Mardin 1969
2–2
D
29 Aug
@ Batman Petrolspor
1–2
L
24 Aug
vs Manisa F.K.
2–2
D
16 Aug
@ Kayserispor
0–2
L
8 Aug
vs Esenler Erokspor
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Muğlaspor – last 6
DWWDDL
6 Sep
vs Vanspor FK
2–2
D
1 Sep
@ Ümraniyespor
1–0
W
28 Aug
vs Boluspor
2–0
W
22 Aug
@ Bodrum FK
0–0
D
16 Aug
vs Bandırmaspor
0–0
D
9 Aug
@ Sarıyer
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sivasspor and Muğlaspor.
What is the prediction for Sivasspor vs Muğlaspor?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Sivasspor vs Muğlaspor?
On our numbers Sivasspor have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Muğlaspor 34%.
How many goals will there be in Sivasspor vs Muğlaspor?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sivasspor vs Muğlaspor?
Our predicted score is Sivasspor 1–1 Muğlaspor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Sivasspor vs Muğlaspor?
Sivasspor vs Muğlaspor (1. Lig) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
