Buxton v Hereford Prediction & Expected Goals (8 Aug) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultBuxton to win ✓48% · @1.91

Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.18

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.53

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.88

Buxton vs Hereford: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Buxton welcome Hereford to The Silverlands for a National League North fixture on Saturday 8 August (15:00 WAT). In the table, Buxton are 7th, upper half, on 27 points after 16 matches; Hereford are 2nd (among the top four) with 30. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Buxton, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Warrington Town, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Hereford, last 5: WDLLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Bromsgrove Sporting, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Buxton, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Hereford.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Buxton 1.7 xG, Hereford 1.4 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 63%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Buxton 48%, draw 22%, Hereford 29%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.53.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (63%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Buxton 1–1 Hereford. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Buxton48%fair 2.07 · @1.91

Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.65

Hereford29%fair 3.41 · @3.25

3.05Expected goals

1.69Buxton xG

1.36Hereford xG

63%Both score

58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%

2–19%

1–08%

1–27%

2–07%

0–16%

From our goals model: Buxton 1.7 – 1.4 Hereford expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Buxton to win ✓	48%	2.07	1.91
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	78%	1.29	1.18
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	63%	1.59	1.53
Draw no bet	Buxton (draw no bet) ✓	62%	1.61	–
Asian handicap	Hereford +1 (Asian handicap)	70%	1.43	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	80%	1.26	1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	58%	1.72	1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	63%	1.58	1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	81%	1.24	–
First team to score	Buxton to score first ✓	53%	1.90	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	39%	2.55	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Buxton / FT Buxton ✓	27%	3.67	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✓	9%	10.88	–

Buxton – last 6

WWWLWD

1 Aug	@ Warrington Town	2–1	W
21 Jul	vs Scunthorpe	2–0	W
10 Jul	vs Ashton United	1–0	W
7 Jul	vs SC Braga	1–3	L
28 Apr	vs Scarborough Athletic	4–2	W
14 Apr	@ Alfreton Town	2–2	D

2.0Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Hereford – last 6

WDLLDW

1 Aug	@ Bromsgrove Sporting	1–0	W
28 Jul	vs Shrewsbury	1–1	D
25 Jul	vs Solihull Moors	0–3	L
17 Jul	@ Bishop's Cleeve	0–2	L
11 Jul	@ Hereford Pegasus	1–1	D
21 Apr	vs Marine	2–1	W

0.8Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

50%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	South Shields	15	10	2	3	+10	32
2	Hereford	16	9	3	4	+14	30
3	Oxford City	15	8	4	3	+15	28
4	Macclesfield	13	8	3	2	+10	27
5	Hednesford Town	16	8	3	5	+8	27
6	King's Lynn Town	16	8	3	5	+6	27
7	Buxton	16	8	3	5	+5	27
8	Chester	15	8	2	5	+4	26
9	Morecambe	16	7	3	6	+5	24
10	Bedford Town	14	7	1	6	-2	22
11	AFC Telford United	16	6	4	6	-4	22
12	Spalding United	15	6	3	6	+3	21
13	Chorley	15	6	2	7	-1	20
14	Worksop Town	15	6	2	7	-1	20
15	Hebburn Town	15	5	5	5	-8	20
16	Marine	15	6	1	8	0	19
17	Merthyr Town	16	4	7	5	-1	19
18	Brackley Town	16	5	4	7	-9	19
19	Harborough Town	14	4	5	5	-4	17
20	Scarborough Athletic	16	4	4	8	-3	16
21	Radcliffe	15	5	1	9	-8	16
22	Darlington 1883	16	3	3	10	-9	12
23	Southport	15	2	4	9	-15	10
24	Spennymoor Town	15	2	4	9	-15	10

Team

Pts

+10

+14

+15

+10

-2

-4

-1

-1

-8

-1

-9

-4

-3

-8

-9

-15

-15

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Buxton vs Hereford?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.

Who will win Buxton vs Hereford?

On our numbers Buxton have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Hereford 29%.

How many goals will there be in Buxton vs Hereford?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Buxton vs Hereford?

Our predicted score is Buxton 1–1 Hereford, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Buxton vs Hereford?

Buxton vs Hereford (National League North) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at The Silverlands.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Buxton v Hereford: numbers & prediction