Hebburn Town 37%Draw 34%Southport 29%Expected goals 1.63 – 1.33
78%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 3.60 – our chance 34% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultHebburn Town to win ✓37% · @2.38
Double chanceHebburn Town or draw ✓71% · @1.42
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.92
Hebburn Town vs Southport: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 8 August: Hebburn Town v Southport in the National League North, played at The Trustmark Group Stadium. In the table, Hebburn Town are 15th, lower half, on 20 points after 15 matches; Southport are 23rd (in the drop zone) with 10.
Current form
Hebburn Town, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Blyth Spartans, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Southport, last 5: DWLLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Wigan, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hebburn Town 1.6 xG, Southport 1.3 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 64% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hebburn Town 37%, draw 34%, Southport 29%.
Lower-risk option: Hebburn Town or draw (71%) at 1.42.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Draw @3.60 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hebburn Town 1–1 Southport. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hebburn Town37%fair 2.68 · @2.38
Draw34%fair 2.97 · @3.60
Southport29%fair 3.44 · @2.50
2.96Expected goals
1.63Hebburn Town xG
1.33Southport xG
64%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–27%
0–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Hebburn Town 1.6 – 1.3 Southport expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hebburn Town to win✓
37%
2.68
2.38
Double chance
Hebburn Town or draw✓
71%
1.41
1.42
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.57
1.57
Draw no bet
Hebburn Town (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.78
–
Asian handicap
Southport +1 (Asian handicap)✗
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
First team to score
Hebburn Town to score first✓
52%
1.91
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.51
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hebburn Town / FT Hebburn Town✓
27%
3.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.92
–
Recent results
Hebburn Town – last 6
WLWWWD
1 Aug
@ Blyth Spartans
4–2
W
21 Jul
vs Hartlepool
2–3
L
14 Jul
vs Gateshead
4–3
W
6 Apr
vs Stockton Town
1–0
W
3 Mar
vs Stocksbridge Park Steels
3–0
W
21 Feb
@ Leek Town
0–0
D
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Southport – last 6
DWLLWW
31 Jul
vs Wigan
0–0
D
24 Jul
vs United of Manchester
2–0
W
18 Jul
vs Fleetwood Town
0–1
L
21 Apr
@ Macclesfield
1–2
L
6 Apr
@ Curzon Ashton
3–1
W
3 Apr
vs Marine
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hebburn Town and Southport.
What is the prediction for Hebburn Town vs Southport?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Hebburn Town vs Southport?
On our numbers Hebburn Town have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 34% and Southport 29%.
How many goals will there be in Hebburn Town vs Southport?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hebburn Town vs Southport?
Our predicted score is Hebburn Town 1–1 Southport, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Hebburn Town vs Southport?
Hebburn Town vs Southport (National League North) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at The Trustmark Group Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
