Chorley vs Chester: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Chester travel to face Chorley on Saturday 8 August in the National League North, with Victory Park the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Chorley are 13th, lower half, on 20 points after 15 matches; Chester are 8th (upper half) with 26.
Current form
Chorley, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Trafford, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Chester, last 5: DWWLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Crewe, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Chester, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.7 for Chorley.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chorley 1.2 xG, Chester 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chorley 36%, draw 26%, Chester 38%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chorley 1–1 Chester. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chorley36%fair 2.74 · @2.50
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @3.40
Chester38%fair 2.66 · @2.50
2.43Expected goals
1.19Chorley xG
1.24Chester xG
54%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Chorley 1.2 – 1.2 Chester expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chester to win✓
38%
2.66
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.80
Draw no bet
Chester (draw no bet)✓
51%
1.97
–
Asian handicap
Chorley +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Chester to score first✓
46%
2.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chester / FT Chester✓
21%
4.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
8%
12.45
–
Recent results
Chorley – last 6
LLDLLW
28 Jul
@ Trafford
1–2
L
25 Jul
vs Accrington ST
0–3
L
21 Jul
vs Altrincham
0–0
D
11 Jul
vs Bury
1–2
L
6 Apr
@ Marine
1–2
L
3 Apr
vs AFC Fylde
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Chester – last 6
DWWLWW
1 Aug
vs Crewe
0–0
D
28 Jul
@ Nantwich Town
3–0
W
24 Jul
@ Hyde United
1–0
W
21 Jul
vs Stoke City
0–1
L
18 Jul
@ Warrington Town
2–0
W
14 Jul
vs Fleetwood Town
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chorley and Chester.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Chorley vs Chester?
On our numbers Chorley have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Chester 38%.
How many goals will there be in Chorley vs Chester?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chorley vs Chester?
Our predicted score is Chorley 1–1 Chester, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Chorley vs Chester?
Chorley vs Chester (National League North) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Victory Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
