Hereford vs Chester: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Chester travel to face Hereford on Saturday 29 August in the National League North, with Edgar Street the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Hereford are 2nd, among the top four, on 30 points after 16 matches; Chester are 8th (upper half) with 26.
Current form
Hereford, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Worksop Town, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Chester, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Spalding United, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Chester, collecting 2.7 points per game to 2.2 for Hereford.
Head to head
When they last met (24 Feb 2026) it ended Hereford 5–2 Chester.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hereford 1.1 xG, Chester 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hereford 35%, draw 21%, Chester 43%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (71%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hereford 1–1 Chester. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hereford35%fair 2.83 · @2.80
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.40
Chester43%fair 2.30 · @2.15
2.46Expected goals
1.14Hereford xG
1.31Chester xG
57%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: Hereford 1.1 – 1.3 Chester expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Hereford vs Chester?
On our numbers Hereford have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Chester 43%.
How many goals will there be in Hereford vs Chester?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hereford vs Chester?
Our predicted score is Hereford 1–1 Chester, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Hereford vs Chester?
Hereford vs Chester (National League North) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Edgar Street.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
