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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Scarborough Athletic v Southport: numbers & prediction

National League North · England · Mounting Systems Stadium
5–1
FT
Scarborough Athletic 55%Draw 19%Southport 26% Expected goals 1.97 – 1.27
80%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultScarborough Athletic to win ✓55% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.37

Scarborough Athletic vs Southport: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Saturday 29 August: Scarborough Athletic v Southport in the National League North, played at Mounting Systems Stadium. In the table, Scarborough Athletic are 20th, lower half, on 16 points after 16 matches; Southport are 23rd (in the drop zone) with 10.

Current form

Scarborough Athletic, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Chorley, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Southport, last 5: WDDLD Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Bedford Town, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Southport, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Scarborough Athletic.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Scarborough Athletic 2.0 xG, Southport 1.3 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Scarborough Athletic 55%, draw 19%, Southport 26%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Scarborough Athletic 1–1 Southport. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Scarborough Athletic55%fair 1.82 · @1.90
Draw19%fair 5.18 · @3.50
Southport26%fair 3.89 · @3.40
3.25Expected goals
1.97Scarborough Athletic xG
1.27Southport xG
61%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–110%
1–08%
2–08%
3–16%
1–26%

From our goals model: Scarborough Athletic 2.0 – 1.3 Southport expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultScarborough Athletic to win ✓55%1.821.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81%1.241.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.651.67
Draw no betScarborough Athletic (draw no bet) ✓68%1.47–
Asian handicapSouthport +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗69%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.251.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓59%1.701.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗63%1.591.40
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗79%1.261.14
First team to scoreScarborough Athletic to score first ✓58%1.71–
Half-time resultScarborough Athletic ahead at half-time ✓41%2.46–
Half-time / full-timeHT Scarborough Athletic / FT Scarborough Athletic ✓34%2.97–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.37–

Recent results

Scarborough Athletic – last 6

LWWLLL
22 Aug@ Chorley1–2L
18 Augvs Spennymoor Town3–0W
15 Aug@ Hednesford Town4–3W
8 Augvs South Shields0–1L
1 Aug@ Harrogate Town1–2L
25 Julvs Barnsley0–2L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Southport – last 6

WDDLDW
22 Augvs Bedford Town4–1W
18 Aug@ Hednesford Town2–2D
15 Augvs Buxton1–1D
8 Aug@ Hebburn Town1–3L
31 Julvs Wigan0–0D
24 Julvs United of Manchester2–0W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Scarborough Athletic and Southport.

Scarborough Athletic vs Southport head-to-head page →

National League North table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1South Shields151023+1032
2Hereford16934+1430
3Oxford City15843+1528
4Macclesfield13832+1027
5Hednesford Town16835+827
6King's Lynn Town16835+627
7Buxton16835+527
8Chester15825+426
9Morecambe16736+524
10Bedford Town14716-222
11AFC Telford United16646-422
12Spalding United15636+321
13Chorley15627-120
14Worksop Town15627-120
15Hebburn Town15555-820
16Marine15618019
17Merthyr Town16475-119
18Brackley Town16547-919
19Harborough Town14455-417
20Scarborough Athletic16448-316
21Radcliffe15519-816
22Darlington 1883163310-912
23Southport15249-1510
24Spennymoor Town15249-1510

More National League North predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Scarborough Athletic vs Southport?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Scarborough Athletic vs Southport?

On our numbers Scarborough Athletic have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Southport 26%.

How many goals will there be in Scarborough Athletic vs Southport?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Scarborough Athletic vs Southport?

Our predicted score is Scarborough Athletic 1–1 Southport, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Scarborough Athletic vs Southport?

Scarborough Athletic vs Southport (National League North) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Mounting Systems Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.