Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.00 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSpalding United to win ✓40% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 13.10
Spalding United vs Worksop Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Worksop Town travel to face Spalding United on Saturday 29 August in the National League North, with Sir Halley Stewart Playing Field the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Spalding United are 12th, upper half, on 21 points after 15 matches; Worksop Town are 14th (lower half) with 20. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Spalding United, last 5: LDLWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Chester, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Worksop Town, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Hereford, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Worksop Town, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Spalding United.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Spalding United 1.1 xG, Worksop Town 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Spalding United 40%, draw 21%, Worksop Town 39%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Under 2.5 goals @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Spalding United 1–1 Worksop Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Spalding United40%fair 2.50 · @2.25
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @3.40
Worksop Town39%fair 2.59 · @2.70
2.27Expected goals
1.15Spalding United xG
1.12Worksop Town xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–112%
0–010%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Spalding United 1.1 – 1.1 Worksop Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Spalding United to win✓
40%
2.50
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.67
Draw no bet
Spalding United (draw no bet)✓
51%
1.97
–
Asian handicap
Worksop Town +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
2.00 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.12
First team to score
Spalding United to score first✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Spalding United / FT Spalding United✓
21%
4.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
13.10
–
Recent results
Spalding United – last 6
LDLWDW
22 Aug
@ Chester
0–1
L
18 Aug
vs Macclesfield
0–0
D
15 Aug
vs Oxford City
0–1
L
8 Aug
@ Radcliffe
2–0
W
18 Jul
vs Scunthorpe
2–2
D
29 Apr
vs Halesowen Town
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Worksop Town – last 6
LLWWWW
22 Aug
vs Hereford
0–3
L
18 Aug
@ Hebburn Town
0–1
L
15 Aug
vs AFC Telford United
2–1
W
8 Aug
@ Darlington 1883
2–1
W
28 Jul
vs Mickleover Sports
1–0
W
25 Jul
vs Garforth Town
4–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Spalding United and Worksop Town.
What is the prediction for Spalding United vs Worksop Town?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Spalding United vs Worksop Town?
On our numbers Spalding United have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Worksop Town 39%.
How many goals will there be in Spalding United vs Worksop Town?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spalding United vs Worksop Town?
Our predicted score is Spalding United 1–1 Worksop Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Spalding United vs Worksop Town?
Spalding United vs Worksop Town (National League North) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Sir Halley Stewart Playing Field.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.