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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Spalding United v Worksop Town: numbers & prediction

National League North · England · Sir Halley Stewart Playing Field
3–1
FT
Spalding United 40%Draw 21%Worksop Town 39% Expected goals 1.15 – 1.12
75%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.36 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.36Odds
U2.5

Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.00 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultSpalding United to win ✓40% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 13.10

Spalding United vs Worksop Town: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Worksop Town travel to face Spalding United on Saturday 29 August in the National League North, with Sir Halley Stewart Playing Field the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Spalding United are 12th, upper half, on 21 points after 15 matches; Worksop Town are 14th (lower half) with 20. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Spalding United, last 5: LDLWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Chester, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Worksop Town, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Hereford, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Worksop Town, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Spalding United.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Spalding United 1.1 xG, Worksop Town 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Spalding United 40%, draw 21%, Worksop Town 39%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.67.
  • Price worth noting: Under 2.5 goals @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 54%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Spalding United 1–1 Worksop Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Spalding United40%fair 2.50 · @2.25
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @3.40
Worksop Town39%fair 2.59 · @2.70
2.27Expected goals
1.15Spalding United xG
1.12Worksop Town xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–112%
0–010%
2–18%
1–27%

From our goals model: Spalding United 1.1 – 1.1 Worksop Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSpalding United to win ✓40%2.502.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.831.67
Draw no betSpalding United (draw no bet) ✓51%1.97–
Asian handicapWorksop Town +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.421.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗54%1.852.00 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75%1.341.36
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.141.12
First team to scoreSpalding United to score first ✓45%2.20–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗47%2.14–
Half-time / full-timeHT Spalding United / FT Spalding United ✓21%4.87–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%13.10–

Recent results

Spalding United – last 6

LDLWDW
22 Aug@ Chester0–1L
18 Augvs Macclesfield0–0D
15 Augvs Oxford City0–1L
8 Aug@ Radcliffe2–0W
18 Julvs Scunthorpe2–2D
29 Aprvs Halesowen Town1–0W
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Worksop Town – last 6

LLWWWW
22 Augvs Hereford0–3L
18 Aug@ Hebburn Town0–1L
15 Augvs AFC Telford United2–1W
8 Aug@ Darlington 18832–1W
28 Julvs Mickleover Sports1–0W
25 Julvs Garforth Town4–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Spalding United and Worksop Town.

Spalding United vs Worksop Town head-to-head page →

National League North table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1South Shields151023+1032
2Hereford16934+1430
3Oxford City15843+1528
4Macclesfield13832+1027
5Hednesford Town16835+827
6King's Lynn Town16835+627
7Buxton16835+527
8Chester15825+426
9Morecambe16736+524
10Bedford Town14716-222
11AFC Telford United16646-422
12Spalding United15636+321
13Chorley15627-120
14Worksop Town15627-120
15Hebburn Town15555-820
16Marine15618019
17Merthyr Town16475-119
18Brackley Town16547-919
19Harborough Town14455-417
20Scarborough Athletic16448-316
21Radcliffe15519-816
22Darlington 1883163310-912
23Southport15249-1510
24Spennymoor Town15249-1510

More National League North predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Spalding United vs Worksop Town?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Spalding United vs Worksop Town?

On our numbers Spalding United have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Worksop Town 39%.

How many goals will there be in Spalding United vs Worksop Town?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Spalding United vs Worksop Town?

Our predicted score is Spalding United 1–1 Worksop Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Spalding United vs Worksop Town?

Spalding United vs Worksop Town (National League North) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Sir Halley Stewart Playing Field.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.